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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, November 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NUNNINK Phillip W. - - - 1% 21% 78%
2 BOYKO Miles - - 6% 31% 54% 9%
3 GUTH Joseph - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
3 WILKINS Mateo - - 1% 14% 50% 35%
5 ZHAO Bowen - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
6 SLUSHER Gideon - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
7 JI Aidan Y. - - - 1% 17% 81%
8 CHOE Jayden K. - - 1% 11% 47% 41%
9 CROOM Tucker - 3% 24% 44% 24% 4%
10 BIESIADA Jan - 3% 19% 44% 32% 2%
11 PALMA Nathan Anthony - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
12 HOWLAND Jonas 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
13 LOCKWOOD Jacob - 6% 30% 44% 20% 1%
14 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 3% 20% 41% 31% 6% -
15 LIU Yinhong 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
16 NAIDL Josiah 1% 12% 37% 40% 10% -
17 SILVA Alexander Ryan 1% 9% 36% 40% 14% 1%
18 BERSCHEID Arthur 4% 25% 44% 24% 3% -
19 WENGER Liam 11% 57% 27% 4% - -
20 OSTFIELD Matteo 38% 43% 17% 2% - -
21 WEISS Quintin 14% 43% 34% 9% 1% -
22 LAKAS Darius 32% 48% 18% 2% - -
22 ZMUDA Aiden 10% 37% 38% 14% 1% -
22 MODADUGU Aryan 5% 27% 42% 23% 3% -
25 HICKEY Connor 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
26 RYAN Nash 43% 42% 13% 1% - -
27 KOKKER Thomas - 10% 40% 37% 11% 1%
28 DAVIS Benjamin 75% 23% 2% - - -
29 MA Gangjin 38% 48% 13% 1% - -
30 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 60% 33% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.