The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

November NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, November 12, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
5 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
5 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
7 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
8 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
9 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
10 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
10 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
12 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 22%
13 REN James 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
14 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
15 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 4%
16 SERVES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
17 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
17 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
19 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
20 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
20 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
22 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
23 GAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 34%
24 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
25 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
26 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
27 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
28 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
29 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
30 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
31 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
32 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
33 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
33 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
35 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 21%
36 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
37 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 9%
38 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
39 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
40 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
41 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
41 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
43 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
44 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 2%
45 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
46 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
47 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
47 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
49 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 3%
50 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
50 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
52 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
53 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
53 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
55 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20%
56 YE Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
57 FOX Gavin 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
58 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
59 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
60 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
61 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
62 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29% 3%
63 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 10% 1%
64 YAN William 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
65 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
66 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
67 MATTOO Surya 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
67 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
69 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
70 CHON Collin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
71 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
72 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
73 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
73 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
75 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
76 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
77 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 14% 1%
78 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29% 3%
79 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
80 FANG Eason 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
81 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 7%
82 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 10%
83 MCDONALD Finn 100% 96% 69% 28% 6% < 1% -
84 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 40%
85 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
86 CHAN Henry 100% 98% 81% 46% 13% 2% -
86 WONG Lucas 100% 96% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
88 WANG William 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
88 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
88 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
91 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
91 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
93 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
93 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
93 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
96 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
97 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
98 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
99 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 4%
100 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
101 LIN Steve 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
102 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 4%
103 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
104 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
105 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% 2%
106 ZHENG LEON 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
107 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
108 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
109 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
110 LIN Lucas 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
111 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
111 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
113 CHO RYAN 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
114 BREGADZE NODAR 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
115 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
116 SUN George 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
117 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
117 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
117 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
120 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
121 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
121 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
123 MATTOO Deven 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
124 WANG Weiyun 100% 99% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
125 LIN Felix 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
126 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28% 3%
127 MARGULIS Jared 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
128 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
129 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
130 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
131 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
132 SAMMI Mukul 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
133 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 4%
134 SANGSTER Arden 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1% -
135 YU Casey 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
136 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
137 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
138 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26% 3%
139 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
140 TANI Tino 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
141 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
142 LIU Victor 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
143 WANG Max 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
144 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
145 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24% 2%
146 HAMMERS Neel 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% -
147 BYON Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 6%
148 REHM Liam 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
149 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
150 VENU Ram 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
150 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
152 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2%
152 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
154 WONG Caleb W. 100% 98% 64% 19% 3% - -
155 KANG Evan 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 13% 1%
156 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
157 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
157 CHEN Ryan 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% - -
159 WANG Max 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% - -
160 LAUB William 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
161 SADHU Neiyam 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
162 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31% 3%
163 BREUER Daniel 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
164 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
165 YANG Phillip 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
166 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13%
167 ANAND Rishab 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
168 ZENG Vito 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% 1% -
169 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
170 MUNJULURI ruhaan 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
171 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 9%
171 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
173 LIGH Checed 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
174 MIRELES Jacob 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
174 SUBA Lucas 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1% -
176 WANG Tiger 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2% -
177 ZHAO Royce 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
178 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
179 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
179 TURNER Benjamin 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
181 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
181 ZHOU James Y. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
183 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
184 GONG Gavin 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
184 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 2% -
186 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 96% 67% 26% 4% -
187 SASSI Ilyas 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
188 TIAGI George 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
189 CHEN Lohen 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
190 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 2%
190 LO Bradley 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
192 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% -
192 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
194 KERCHER Alexander 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
194 LIN Philip T. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
196 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
197 ONG Dylan 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1% -
197 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
197 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
197 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 2% -
201 WANG HongXi 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
201 LI Maxwell 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
201 THOMAS Texas 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
204 CAO Oliver 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
205 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
206 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
207 MEADE Liam R. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
208 KWON Kenneth 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
208 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
208 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
211 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
211 LEE Brady 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
213 OLARIO Raphael 100% 97% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
213 WILKINSON James 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1% -
215 STURGEON Cole 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
216 YU Kevin 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
217 LI Ayden 100% 98% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
217 BOLLU Viren 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
217 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
220 BIVIJI Ali 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
220 SAKAYEDA Jacob 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
220 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
220 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
224 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 15% 2%
225 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
226 KIM Theodore 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
227 WAXLER Ryan 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
228 XU Ivan 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
229 LIU Aaron 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% 1% -
230 GUREVICH Savely 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
231 AUTREY Adrien 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
232 MCDANIEL Luke 100% 71% 26% 5% 1% - -
233 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
234 CHI Everett 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
235 KUMAR Arjun 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
235 WANG tiger 100% 89% 33% 5% - - -
237 VEDRE Neil 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1% -
237 COURTIN Frederic 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
239 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 94% 61% 21% 4% - -
240 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 99% 84% 37% 7% 1% -
241 XUE Leo 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
242 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
243 AO Christopher 100% 90% 57% 19% 2% -
244 KIM Evan 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
245 HO Jacob 100% 94% 68% 28% 4% -
246 LOO Jason 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
247 HRISTOV Kris 100% 94% 68% 30% 8% 1% -
248 GAY Jono 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
249 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
249 LO Maxim L. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 11% 1%
251 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
252 ZHU Matthew 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
253 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
254 SEETHAMRAJU Pranay 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
255 CHAN Elliott 100% 77% 33% 8% 1% - -
255 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
257 KENNEDY Michael 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% - -
258 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
259 PORTER Dupree 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
260 IYER Neil 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
261 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 98% 67% 21% 3% - -
261 HONG Aidan 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
263 SMITH William 100% 51% 6% - - - -
264 COGLIANO Max 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
264 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
266 LEIGH Edward 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
267 HUANG Caleb 100% 76% 31% 6% - - -
268 VO Landon 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
269 LEMERY Marc 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
270 SHA Walter 100% 72% 26% 5% - - -
271 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
272 KETT Richard 100% 73% 30% 6% - - -
273 LIU Guanyu 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
274 JI Johnson 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
275 SAYAR Luke 100% 86% 38% 8% 1% - -
276 CUNLIFFE Sebastian 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
277 KURILO Michael 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
278 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
278 GU Kevin 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
280 UEMOTO Ken 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
281 SUN Andrew 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% -
282 BARROWS Hunter 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
283 VOSPER James 100% 42% 6% - - - -
283 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
283 WONG David 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
286 KIM Yusung 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
286 SUNG Julian 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
286 TAN Ryan 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
286 LIU Daniel 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
290 EPLETT Nicholas 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
290 CHA James 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
292 FENG Brendan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
292 GORDON Samuel 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
292 XIA Matthew 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
292 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
292 RAMSEY Alexander 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
292 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 66% 13% 1% - - -
298 MORGAN Abrahm H. 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
298 HONG Sungwon 100% 25% 2% - - - -
300 FRANCO James 100% 25% 3% - - - -
300 MINASIAN Mason 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
302 NGUYEN Dylan 100% 31% 4% - - - -
302 CAUTHRON Oliver 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
304 WILLIAMS Eric 100% 10% - - - - -
304 KIM Paul 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
306 POLISETTI Pranav 100% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.