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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KONG Luculentus X. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
2 TANG August L. - - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
3 LIU Ryan - 2% 15% 39% 34% 9%
3 SHAPIRO Leon - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
5 KOVACS Wyatt - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
6 DAVIDSON Elliot - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
7 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
8 O'BRIEN Jack K. - - - 1% 14% 68% 17%
9 POPESCU Tudor - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
10 TANG Alexander L. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
11 ARCE Andrew W. - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
12 MAGALONG William 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
13 PITERBARG Maxim - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
14 HARRA Alexander 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
15 GLEBA Nico - 1% 14% 37% 36% 11%
16 MARTIN Darius - 1% 9% 33% 45% 13%
17 CHEN Ethan - 2% 18% 45% 30% 6%
18 MILLER Jordan - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
19 AMRANI David - 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4%
20 BRINTON III Robert H. - - - 6% 34% 60%
21 JURMAN Therin - 7% 35% 41% 16% 1%
22 PLASTARAS Trey - - 4% 23% 44% 29%
23 YANG Dylan 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
24 LI Ayren - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
25 SURESH Rohan 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
26 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 14% 55% 27% 4% - -
27 DJONOUMA Toyohm 1% 10% 36% 37% 15% 2%
28 LEE Eugene - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
29 ZHAO Brandon 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
30 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
31 TANG xianchi - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
32 GROTH Caleb 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
33 TAM Kyle 7% 32% 40% 18% 2% < 1% -
34 LEE Jason N. - - - - 4% 31% 64%
35 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
36 GREENLEAF Paul - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
37 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. - - - 6% 36% 57%
38 ZHAO Brian 5% 30% 41% 20% 3% -
39 PETERSON Dale - 1% 13% 39% 39% 8%
40 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
41 BLEIL Tyler 1% 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
42 CHREKY Jacob D. - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
43 PEDERSEN Charles 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
44 YEE Charles E. - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
45 MURPHY Damian J. 1% 11% 34% 40% 14% 1%
46 CHENG Austyn 1% 14% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
47 VO Jonathan 2% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1% -
48 HAN Alexander 3% 19% 41% 31% 6% - -
49 GARCIA HERNANDEZ Lucas - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
50 GODOVICH David 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
51 BROOKS Matthew 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
52 BAI Brian 1% 15% 46% 30% 7% 1%
53 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - 4% 25% 47% 24%
54 SOLOPOULOS James 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
55 HOLCOMB Cedric 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
56 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan - 1% 8% 31% 47% 13% 1%
57 LAO Kevin 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
58 BAKSHI Aman 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
59 HU Alan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
60 CHO Xzander - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
61 WUN Jonathan - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
62 STAFFORD Gareth 15% 47% 30% 7% 1% - -
63 MONTALBINE Aidan - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
64 HAYLON Caleb 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
65 TESSMAN Henry 33% 50% 15% 2% - -
66 MASTRONARDI Joseph M. - 5% 29% 44% 20% 2%
67 GECKELER James 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
68 TIBBETTS Justin 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
69 SHAMBARGER Graham 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
70 REZA Farazi - 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
71 PETINO Leonardo 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
72 POLLIO Benjamin 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
73 PAN Brian 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
74 VALENTINE David 34% 50% 15% 2% - -
75 GOODMAN Elliott 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
76 MUNDAHL Brandon D. - < 1% 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
77 WOHLERS Trevor 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% - -
78 FOGELSON Hugh 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
79 MAGAZU Christopher 42% 47% 10% 1% - -
80 MCENTEE Owen 67% 30% 4% - - -
81 SABATINO Patrick 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
82 DAILEY Noah 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
83 BRATTAIN Trey 72% 25% 3% - - - -
84 SHECKMAN Willow 37% 47% 14% 2% - -
85 MONTERROSO Sebastian 56% 37% 7% - - - -
85 JENKINS Michael 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.