The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Foil

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 12:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CASCONE Emily - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
2 ZELDIN Nadia - - 4% 22% 41% 28% 5%
3 BABIAC Julia - - 3% 18% 48% 31%
3 HAFEZ Tahiyah - - 5% 26% 50% 18%
5 REN Kayley - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
6 OLSEN Jen - - 3% 16% 40% 33% 8%
7 KAPRAN Anastasia - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
8 CHENG Isa - 4% 30% 39% 21% 5% -
9 WANG Yudi - 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 4%
10 SIMONOV Dasha - - 1% 7% 38% 54%
11 BASILE Gianna - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 6%
12 SHENG Katherine - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
13 PUOPOLO Mia 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
14 WANG Sabrina - - 2% 16% 47% 35%
15 LUONG Tiffany C. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
16 DIMATULAC Elise Ann - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
17 TURNER Stephanie E. - - 1% 11% 36% 40% 12%
18 POPOVA Polina 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
19 LI Yixin Catherine 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% < 1% -
20 HUANG Sophie 6% 28% 41% 21% 3% -
21 GREEN Marisa - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
22 LAO Sophia - - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
23 MARTIRE Alessandra 3% 17% 39% 33% 8% 1%
24 MING YUE - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
25 HWANG Chanel 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
26 FENG Audrey - 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
27 LI Jiahua - - 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
28 TRACZ Calleigh D. - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
29 LAWRENCE Nia 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 3% -
30 POWLEDGE Cora 1% 9% 33% 42% 14% 1%
31 LAZAR Carolina 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
32 DIPAOLO Julia 1% 11% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
33 NEUMAN Sophie - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 14%
34 GREENLEAF Ella 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 2% -
35 WEI Melody 12% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
36 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 5% 27% 43% 22% 3% -
37 LA VALLEY Paloma - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
38 DUSINLLEUX Kate D. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
39 LIU Long 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
40 REZA Fukaina 16% 40% 33% 11% 1% - -
41 VAN DE VELDE Cecile 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
42 MAIA ZUCKERMAN Julia 11% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
43 FRIEND Sophie 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
44 CHEN Sophie 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% 1% -
44 TENZIN Kyijong 18% 60% 20% 3% - - -
46 MCDERMOTT Catherine 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
47 HAQUE Isabela 39% 46% 14% 2% - - -
48 LIU Sophie 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
49 DEEKEN Anna 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
50 CHAKRAPANI Ila 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
51 BELISTRI Isabella 69% 29% 2% - - - -
52 WILES Maeve 27% 48% 21% 4% - - -
53 BALDWIN Aimi 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
53 LIAO Jiarou 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.