Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 1:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
3 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
5 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 26%
6 SONG Troy 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
7 SINGH Jaysukh 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
8 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 10%
9 UNG Kai 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
10 BRINTON III Robert H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
11 WU Colin 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4%
12 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
13 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
14 WANG Xiangdong 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
15 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
16 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
17 KARIMOV Amir 100% 99% 88% 49% 13% 1%
18 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
19 PAQUET Mathieu 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
20 LAPP Oliver 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
21 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
22 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
22 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
24 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
25 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 36%
26 CHAO Warren 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
27 HELMY Richard 100% 82% 36% 8% 1%
28 CHOU Benson 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
28 GAO Victor 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
30 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
31 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
32 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
33 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 52%
34 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
35 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
36 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
37 MEN Junda 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
38 SETO Jing 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
39 RIFKIND Neil 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
40 GREEN Noah J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 3%
41 HIGGINS Jett 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
42 PAN Anthony 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1% -
43 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
44 DOWD Peter L. 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
45 KELLEY Hayden 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
46 GABAY Daniel 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
47 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
48 AHMED Mohsen 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
49 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
50 DRYSDALE David 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
51 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 24% 3%
52 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 33%
53 KRALICEK Emmet 100% 99% 89% 56% 14% 1%
54 LENNON Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 4%
55 WHITE Aidan 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
56 YU Samuel 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
57 NILSEN Mark 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2% -
58 LI Jaden 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
59 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
60 RIM Eugene 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
61 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 100% 95% 69% 25%
62 LENAR David 100% 61% 18% 2% -
63 LIU Kun 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
64 YIN Chujun 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
65 LI Ray 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
66 BUISINE Sebastien 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
67 STEIN Philip 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
68 SOSNICK Samuel 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
69 BEZNEA George 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
70 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
71 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
72 THOMPSON Ian 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
73 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
74 ZHANG Roland 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
75 LI Jade 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
76 KIM Zac 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
77 WOLFORD Benjamin 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
78 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 100% 97% 73% 29% 4%
79 PEDICONE Joseph 100% 67% 16% 2% - -
80 WANG Zhenhai 100% 62% 16% 2% - -
81 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
81 ZHOU Anping 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
83 MURRAY John P. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
84 STEIN Max 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
85 LEE Wyatt 100% 72% 26% 5% - - -
86 BUISINE Aurelien 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
86 LIN Yufei 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
88 KIM Nathan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
89 ALAM Rajan 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
90 HE Yurui 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
90 MA Wilson 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
92 TARDIFF Seth 100% 71% 27% 5% 1% - -
93 NABI Mikhail 100% 98% 79% 35% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.