Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 4:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FORMENTI Giulio - - 4% 24% 48% 22% 2%
2 SUGIURA Samuel - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
3 ZENG Noah - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
3 CHUNG Connor - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
5 SAVOY Luca - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
6 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
7 POSY Daniel - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
8 CHEN Jonathan 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
9 BARNETT Adam - - - - 8% 43% 49%
10 RODRIGUEZ Darlin - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
11 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
12 FIELDS Matthew S. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
13 GONG zihao 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
14 HUROWITZ Max - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
15 LAU Justin Y. - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
16 BONDARENCO Vlad - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
17 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% < 1% -
18 WITCZAK Mateus 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
19 FRANCOIS Alexander C. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
20 LAUB William 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
21 DUMOULIN Gabriel 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
22 MCCARTHY Devan - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
23 LIN Steve - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
24 RYAN Kai - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
25 HUANG Tom - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
26 BRANDT Jaden - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
27 ATWOOD Griffin - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
28 WEN Edward - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
29 HOFFMAN Timothy R. - - - 5% 26% 47% 21%
30 KATZ Ryan - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
31 WANG Weiyun 1% 11% 43% 35% 9% 1% -
32 KIM ELIJAH - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 22%
33 TSAO Oliver - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
34 TOZZI Massimo 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
35 DEPEW Spencer - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
36 DIMATTEO Michael 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
37 MARGULIS Jared 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
38 ZHENG LEON 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
39 WEBER Mattias A. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
39 AO Christopher 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
41 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
42 MICHELL Bailey - - - < 1% 4% 27% 69%
43 KOGAN Nikita - 4% 28% 47% 19% 2% -
43 SEN Christian 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
45 DESAUTELS Connor 13% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
46 HUANG Maxwell H. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
47 LIM Brandon 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
48 CUSUMANO Neal 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
49 SIMMONS John M. 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
50 HUFF Clayton R. 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
51 KEIPER Benjamin 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
52 WEI William 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
53 ALMEDA Stanislav 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
54 CHENG Brandon 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
55 SUBA Lucas 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
56 ZHOU Grant 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
57 GONG ziqian 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
58 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
59 SHELMIDINE Cole 27% 44% 23% 6% 1% - -
59 BADUSHOV Anton - 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
61 MANESCU Miron 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
62 PODDAR Shameek 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
63 LEE Anderson 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
64 SHINCHUK Daniel 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
65 DUARTE PALOMINO Miguel 39% 47% 13% 1% - - -
66 ZONG Yujie 7% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
67 LIBBY Benjamin 37% 51% 11% 1% - - -
68 KOGAN Yelisey L. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
68 TSAO Alister 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.