Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club, Richmond VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SHOWALTER Zachary V V V V D V V V V V 4.8 5 +0.2
2 MILLSON Daniel V V V D D V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
3 PALAMARCHUK Andriy D V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
3 WALLACE George V V V V V V V V D 4.6 6 +1.4
5 ANDERSON Dean D V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
6 WATSON Raymond V D V D V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
7 HEADRICK Jack V V D D V V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
8 CAMPBELL Paul V V D D V V D V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
9 ZIMSKY James V V V V D D V D 3.9 5 +1.1
10 SEMP Iain V D V V D V D 2.4 4 +1.6
11 HERMES Henry D V D V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
12 KARNAVAS William V D D D V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
13 GUMPRICH Joe P. D V D V V D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
14 MARKOWITZ Sam D D V V D D V D 3.8 2 -1.8
15 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi D V D V D D D V D 0.7 2 +1.3
16 AUSTIN Truman D V D D D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
17 NANAYAKKARA Damin V D V D D V D 1.3 3 +1.7
18 AVILA Heru D D V D D V D D 3.9 2 -1.9
19 KARASICK Andrew D D V D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
20 LAND Evan D D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
21 HAVERSON Civa D D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
22 LOTT Matt D D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.