The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 2:00 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Iris - - - 6% 35% 58%
2 SEMEL Liana M. - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
3 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - - < 1% 2% 98%
3 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
5 CASCONE Emily - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
6 CHOW Annabelle - - 1% 11% 31% 39% 18%
7 SHEN Emilia - - 4% 21% 41% 28% 5%
8 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
9 ZHENG Julie - 2% 14% 37% 38% 8% < 1%
10 RENTON Samantha - - 1% 7% 37% 55%
11 ZHOU Catherine - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
12 BUDENKO Oleksandra - - 4% 18% 42% 35% -
13 LAO Sophia - 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
14 WU Renee - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
15 BABIAC Julia 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
16 SHIM Grace J. - 1% 7% 30% 48% 14%
17 MEI Sarah - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
18 LI Han (Helina) - 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
19 HAFEZ Tahiyah - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
20 BASILE Gianna 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
21 HAO Danica - 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
22 FIELD Julianna - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
23 SHA Yi Ling - - 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
24 LI Eleanor - 1% 8% 31% 46% 14%
25 ZELDIN Nadia 1% 12% 36% 37% 12% 1%
26 SHENG Katherine 4% 23% 40% 27% 6% -
27 WANG Yudi - 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
28 REN Kayley - 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2%
29 FENG Audrey 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% -
30 LUONG Tiffany C. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
31 GREEN Marisa 2% 17% 40% 32% 8% 1%
32 LI Jiahua - 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
33 WANG Sabrina - 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
34 BADLANI Diya 22% 46% 27% 6% - -
35 MARTIRE Alessandra 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
36 NEUMAN Sophie 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% -
37 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 3% 18% 38% 30% 9% 1%
38 ROY Layla - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
39 WANG Jasmine - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
40 MING YUE 1% 9% 31% 40% 18% 2% -
41 ZHANG Selena - 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
42 POWLEDGE Cora 13% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
43 LIU Long 16% 50% 28% 6% - - -
44 YU Jane 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
45 MCDERMOTT Catherine 44% 47% 8% 1% - - -
46 TRACZ Calleigh D. 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% -
47 CHEN Sophie 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
48 POPOVA Polina 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
49 LAZAR Carolina 60% 35% 5% - - - -
50 LI Xiang (Shining) 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
51 CHAKRAPANI Ila 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
52 BELISTRI Isabella 96% 4% - - - - -
53 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 36% 51% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.