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Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club, Richmond VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OTT James (Jimmy) P. - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 PRICE Owen - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 REEDER Nicholas W. - 1% 10% 35% 43% 11%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. - - - 4% 20% 47% 29%
5 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 4% 25% 50% 21%
6 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 20%
7 TETTERTON Jr Joseph S. 1% 15% 39% 35% 9% 1%
8 HARPER Wesley - 1% 14% 40% 37% 8%
9 ZIMSKY James 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
10 KARNAVAS William - 6% 29% 45% 18% 2%
11 BARTON Henry 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
12 LOVELACE Vander 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
13 ROUNTREE Andrew 1% 13% 39% 35% 10% 1%
14 HAVERSON Rana 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
15 HARTMAN Grayson - 11% 52% 30% 5% -
16 KASPER Lucia 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
17 LIN Janice 3% 35% 42% 17% 2% -
18 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
19 LAU-ALLEN Macy 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
20 REED Katherine 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1% -
21 SAY Preston 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
22 STRUMLAUF Jacob 1% 6% 24% 40% 27% 2%
23 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria - < 1% 2% 13% 40% 44%
24 BAILEY Linwood 70% 27% 3% - - -
25 POOLE Katherine 11% 36% 38% 14% 1% -
26 GUARDIOLA Emily 2% 28% 41% 23% 5% -
27 SHANKS Jennifer 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
28 SINGH Meet 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
29 NANAYAKKARA Damin 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
30 MITCHELLL Robert 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
31 ALLEN Lily 57% 36% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.