The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEOU Korina - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
2 FOSS Persephone - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23%
3 GONG Joy - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
3 WANG JiaQi - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
5 KWON Ava - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
6 CHOWDHERY Myra 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% -
7 ZHU Elaine - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
8 LI Tira - 1% 6% 24% 41% 28%
9 GONZALEZ Veronika - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
10 NEMORIN Rei - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
11 NIU Jessica - 1% 7% 29% 45% 19%
12 XU Elaine 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
13 LIANG Claire - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
14 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 18%
15 YAN Angela - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 7%
16 PEREIRA Izumi 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
17 FUNG Iris - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
18 ZHU Avril - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
19 LEE Grace - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
20 WANG Emily - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
21 MAK Jayden - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
22 PARK Haylie - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
23 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
24 REN Katherine - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
25 LEE Kaitlin 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3%
26 ZHANG Nikki - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
27 MULLER Inara 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
28 GOEL Lineysha 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
29 SEO Kaitlyn 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3%
30 LI Tiffany - - 5% 23% 41% 25% 5%
31 ZHAO Selena 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
32 KIM Grace 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
33 GALLAGHER Isabella 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
34 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
35 WANG Chloe 33% 42% 20% 4% < 1% -
36 ZHANG Audrey 2% 19% 41% 30% 8% 1%
37 HILD Anya - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
37 LIU Chelsea 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
39 KIM Eunjae 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
40 CHOI Charlotte - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 4%
41 STOLCKE Saskia 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
42 YE Isabella - - 6% 26% 45% 23%
43 NANDA Maanika 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
44 WEI Madison 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
45 LAU Angela 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
46 STEVENS Ashelin 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
47 WANG MONA 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
48 GOLEN Grace 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% -
49 KONZEN Iris - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
50 YERENKOVA Ameliia 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
51 TA-ZHOU Sophia 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
52 WANG Keira 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
53 PASSMAN Caroline 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
54 HARRIS Maya Hué - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
55 WANG Selina 11% 39% 36% 12% 2% -
56 KARAVAS Lucy 27% 44% 23% 5% - -
57 YOUNG Sienna 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
58 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
59 FONG Zoe 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
60 ZONG Eliane 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
61 JOHN Sophia 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
62 GU Allison - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
63 SAGER Bianca 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
64 CHEN Chloe 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
65 BLYAKHMAN HANNAH 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
66 LEE Elise 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
67 YAP Anna 3% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
68 PARAISO Isabella 52% 39% 9% 1% - -
68 LIAO Amber 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
70 GUAN Vivian 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
71 SMITH Genevieve 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
72 MOFFITT Charlotte 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
73 AHLUWALIA Vera 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
74 KWAN Kelly 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.