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December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, December 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 MEINHARDT Gerek L. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 MASSIALAS Alexander C. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
3 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
3 LOUIE Bryce - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
5 LEE Jacob J 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
6 EMMER Chase T. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
7 ZHANG Daniel D. - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
8 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - < 1% 5% 30% 65%
9 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
10 GRIFFITH JACK - - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% - -
11 BOURTIS James S. - - 2% 8% 25% 39% 26%
12 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
12 BURKE Spencer W. - - - - - - 1% 6% 16% 28% 29% 17% 4%
14 YANG Luao - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
15 DESERANNO Jeidus 1% 6% 23% 38% 25% 6% -
16 CULLIVAN Justice - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
17 CHEN Andrew - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
18 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
19 CHEN Allen - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
20 CHEN James P. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
21 WU Alexander - - - - 1% 6% 14% 24% 27% 18% 7% 1% -
22 ONIK Elijah T. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
23 SINGH Dayaal - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 23% 29% 22% 9% 1%
24 UM Ethan A. - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
25 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% -
26 KUMBLA Samarth - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
27 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - - - 1% 3% 9% 20% 29% 25% 11% 2%
28 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - - 2% 7% 18% 27% 26% 14% 4% -
29 ZHAI Jeffrey - - 1% 4% 13% 24% 28% 20% 9% 2% - -
30 LEWIS Paul D. 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
31 WOO Christian - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - -
32 JEON Caleb A. - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 29% 22% 9% 1%
33 DETERING Julian - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - -
34 LI Richard - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
35 NDIAYE Edriss G. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
36 HASSANIN Mohamed - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
37 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 29% 22% 8% 1%
38 KIM Brandon J. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 23% 13% 4% -
39 LI Owen - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 16% 6% 1% -
39 KNIZHNIK David - - 2% 9% 19% 26% 23% 14% 5% 1% - - -
41 GOOR Julian - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% - -
42 PO Oliver - - 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - - -
43 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - - - - 1% 6% 14% 24% 27% 19% 7% 1%
44 BAS Liam - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 16% 5% 1%
45 KELLY William J. - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 6%
46 CHEN Raymond - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 28% 24% 12% 2%
47 KORABLIN Anton - - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 2% -
48 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
49 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
50 WANG Brian S. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 29% 24% 10% 2%
51 ZHANG Yun Isaac - - 2% 8% 20% 28% 24% 13% 4% 1% - - -
52 LI Eric - 1% 4% 11% 21% 26% 21% 12% 4% 1% - - -
53 BANERJEE ANUP 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% -
53 ROSE Ben - 1% 4% 13% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - -
55 FUKUDA Alessio R. - - - 1% 3% 8% 17% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
56 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 2% 6% 14% 24% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
57 HUTH Mitchell - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 26% 24% 14% 4% 1%
58 LU Yikai - 1% 3% 9% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - -
59 KIM Yonjae 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
60 SIU Aiden - - - 2% 6% 14% 22% 25% 19% 9% 3% 1% -
61 TANG Owen S. - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 24% 14% 6% 1% - - -
62 LEE Aidan - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 16% 6% 1% -
63 MITBERG Gregory W. - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18% 1%
64 GRAHAM Roy J. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
65 LO Conrad - - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% -
66 STANLEY Mason B. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 28% 24% 12% 3% -
67 KAO Castor T. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
68 LI Arvin - 3% 12% 24% 27% 20% 9% 3% 1% - - - -
69 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - - - 2% 7% 17% 27% 26% 15% 5% 1% -
70 BRUK Peter J. - - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 1% -
71 HUTH Jacob - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - -
72 LEWIS Akhil - - - 2% 9% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% 1% - -
73 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - 3% 10% 21% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - -
74 NAGER Noah 1% 8% 19% 27% 24% 14% 6% 2% - - - -
75 LUH Ethan K. - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 21% 11% 3% 1% - -
76 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 25% 17% 8% 2% - -
77 OURSLER Jack - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
78 PYO Michael M. - - 1% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - -
79 LEE Jonah - 1% 6% 17% 27% 26% 16% 6% 2% - - - -
80 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 1% 4% 11% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
81 KIM Ryan Y. - - - 2% 8% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - -
82 ZOBEL Eric H. - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 24% 19% 10% 4% 1% - -
83 DIERKS Kian - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 19% 9% 3% 1% - - -
84 AKYAMAC Bora 1% 9% 23% 30% 22% 11% 3% 1% - - - - -
85 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - - -
86 TANG Albert - 1% 7% 17% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - - -
87 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - - 1% 5% 15% 25% 26% 18% 8% 2% - - -
88 JAIN Aditya - - 3% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - -
89 RUSADZE Nickolas 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
89 GATRELL Mitchell E. 13% 30% 31% 18% 7% 2% - - - - - -
91 CO Dylan 1% 7% 18% 27% 25% 15% 6% 1% - - -
92 MOHAMED Amir - - 3% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 5% 1% - - -
93 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 3% 11% 23% 27% 21% 10% 3% 1% - - - -
94 GRASS Andrew E. - - - - 1% 3% 11% 23% 29% 22% 10% 2% -
95 SONG Aiden S. - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 24% 13% 4% -
96 WU DING-JUN 1% 8% 21% 29% 24% 12% 4% 1% - - - - -
97 WYMAN Julian 1% 8% 20% 27% 24% 13% 5% 1% - - - -
98 REYES Omar 1% 7% 18% 27% 24% 14% 6% 2% - - - - -
99 DOCTOR Aidan L. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
100 CHENG Nathan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
101 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - 3% 12% 31% 38% 17%
102 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 17%
103 SHEPHERD Conner M. 2% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
104 TEMPLE Jackson 6% 26% 38% 24% 5%
105 YOON DYLAN 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
106 TANG August L. 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
107 LIN James G. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
108 SONG Leonardo T. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 14%
109 BADLANI Dev 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
110 ZHAO Jason L. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
111 SAGE Michael P. 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
112 ADLER David R. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
113 LEE Chris - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
113 REEVES Liam 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
115 TIKHAEV Alexander 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
116 LIN Michael 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
116 GERVAIS Joel - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
118 MATSAKH Philip 1% 10% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
118 MAGIDSON Gabriel - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
118 NICOLETTI Luca 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
121 LOVE Aaron - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
122 DESHMUKH Arjun - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
123 QIAN Jason H. 2% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
124 XIAO EDWARD - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
125 MCISAAC Finn 9% 32% 38% 17% 4% - -
126 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
127 SHA Yi Peng - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
128 TIYA BIAYA K. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
128 SONG Noel 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
130 VALOUEV Aleksey 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
131 CORTRIGHT Skipper 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
131 LEE Brendan 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
133 GUO Justin 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
134 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
135 MILLER Aidan A. 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
136 WONG Adrian 9% 31% 37% 19% 4%
137 EDISON Ansel 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
138 GAO William - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
139 ORR Spencer 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
140 HAN Changhee 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
141 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
142 MILLER Jeffrey E. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
143 SANTOS Carlos R. 26% 45% 24% 5% - -
144 AHN Jun 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
145 JIANG Owen 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% -
146 KEE Andrew L. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
147 MOHAMED Murad 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 6% 1%
148 KOVACS Wyatt 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
149 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
150 WONG Antonio 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
151 HOSKERI Anik S. 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
152 GOGOI Vir K. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
153 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
154 KIM Minhyeok 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
155 GONG Benjamin 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
156 LEE Jacob - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
156 HE Patrick 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2% -
158 BING Charles - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 7%
158 SENIC Lucas 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
160 DEGROOT Blake 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
161 GATZA Logan 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
162 JIANG Bowang 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
163 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
164 GUTH Joseph 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
165 LANG Dong Lin 1% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
166 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
167 SIMA Congyu Josh 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
168 RAJ Jay 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
169 HAMILTON Brock B. 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
170 LI Matthew 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
171 SHAPIRO Leon 19% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
172 DOBBINS Evan W. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
173 MILLER Jordan 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
174 ZHENG Alan H. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
175 RASMUSSEN Sage 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
176 YAP Nathan 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
177 DINSAY Kristjan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
178 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake - < 1% - 5% 25% 47% 23%
178 PARK Jason B. 4% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
180 WILLIAMS Connor J. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
180 LI Aaron 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
182 KLOTZ Isaiah 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
183 QUINONES Diego A. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
184 ORLOV Dmitriy 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
184 DAVIDSON Elliot 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
186 LIGOS Alex M. 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
186 WANG Mason 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
188 WANG Rory 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
189 JAUME Andrei 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
190 SEMP Iain 51% 37% 11% 1% - - -
191 LIMA Kevin M. < 1% - 4% 16% 35% 34% 12%
192 KUZMAK Michael J. 28% 45% 22% 5% - -
193 SICHITIU Alexander 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
194 BAE Kevin 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
195 GNEUHS Sam 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
196 CONVERSE Warren D. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
197 ROUNTREE Rob 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
198 GALEMORE Jonathan 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
199 O'DONNELL Breck 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
199 GORDON Jacob < 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
199 LEVY Jacob 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
202 DUSZA Zachery 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
203 LEE Seungwon 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
204 SIDES Nathaniel S. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.