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December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, December 1, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - - - 1% 19% 80%
3 GREENBAUM Atara R. - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
3 POSSICK Lola P. - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
5 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - 2% 20% 79%
6 KIM Zoe - - - 5% 29% 65%
7 GHAYALOD reya 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
8 XIAO julie 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
9 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
9 LEE Alexandra B. - - 1% 10% 34% 43% 12%
11 SHEALY Maggie - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
12 BURKE Nora S. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
13 LU Vivian Y. - - 6% 25% 44% 25%
14 LINDER Kara E. - - - 1% 9% 38% 53%
15 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
16 LEE Hannah 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 12% 1%
17 OISHI Megumi - - - 5% 25% 55% 15%
18 KONG Vera - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
19 ANTHONY Alexia B. 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3% -
20 YANG Ashley M. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 4%
21 DRAGON Rainer - - 5% 20% 40% 31% 3%
22 BROWN Emma - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
23 HARRISON Imogen N. - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 8%
24 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 12%
25 LI Victoria J. - 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
26 MUND Ruth 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
27 YANG Angelina LeLe - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
28 MIKA Veronica - - 2% 13% 36% 43% 6%
29 LI Amanda C. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
30 KHAN Alissa 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
31 MARTURANO Bridget H. 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
32 VADASZ Ibla P. 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
33 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
34 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 8%
35 SAYLES Nina R. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 3%
36 CHEN Ashley 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
37 LIN Nicole 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
38 CHEN Xiaohan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
39 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
40 NATH Trisha - 4% 20% 40% 28% 7% -
41 SHTREVENSKY Maria 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
42 WANG Elysia 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
43 ALCEBAR Kayla 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
44 KIM Marley I. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
45 KOLMYKOVA Aleksandra 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
46 WU Helen 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
47 YUCEL Emine I. 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
48 JOHNSON Honor - - - < 1% 2% 29% 69%
49 MAKLIN Sofia 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
50 CHANG Josephine S. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
51 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - < 1% 5% 28% 67%
52 SOURIMTO Valeria 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
53 FEIG Sela 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
54 ZHANG Sophie 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
55 ZHANG XUANYI 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
56 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2% -
57 SHEARER Natalie E. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
57 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
59 LU Elaine 2% 13% 34% 36% 15% 2%
60 LIGH Erenei J. 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
61 JOHNSON Dagny L. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
62 MCKEE Brynnley 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
63 JOHNSON Lydia 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
64 VESTEL Mira B. - 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
65 PAUL Lila - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
66 LEE Sophia 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
67 DUCKETT Madison 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
68 COLTER Aurora 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
69 FAVO Isabella 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
70 CHIN Sophia J. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
71 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
72 FERNANDEZ Martina 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
73 TABANGAY Heartlyn 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
74 BENOIT Adelaide L. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
74 YANG Lea 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
76 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
76 CHIANG Melissa 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
78 ZHANG Chenfei 18% 49% 27% 6% 1% - -
79 PRIEUR Lauren 10% 29% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
80 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2% -
81 SCOTT Eve 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
82 FESTA Carina 23% 46% 25% 5% 1% -
83 YAO Rainie 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
84 LIU Yifei 33% 45% 18% 3% - -
85 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
86 GRAFF Sophie 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
86 MARYASH Samantha 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% -
88 WIGGERS Susan Q. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
89 CHAVAN Arya 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
90 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
91 SATHYANATH Kailing - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% -
92 HENRY Soraya S. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
93 JEONG Katie 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
94 BUHAY Kirsten M. 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
95 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 23% 43% 27% 6% 1% - -
96 DONG Angel 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
97 GLUCK Myriam 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
98 MANSPERGER Leena 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
99 NGUYEN Siena 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
99 BARNOVITZ Maya 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
101 HE Charlotte 1% 11% 30% 37% 19% 2%
102 XU Emily T. 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.