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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, December 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
2 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
3 CHON Collin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
3 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
5 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
6 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
7 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
8 YAN William 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
9 REN James 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
10 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
11 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
12 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
13 UEMOTO Ken 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
14 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
15 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
16 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
17 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
18 HU Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
19 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
20 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
21 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
22 YE Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
23 MATTOO Deven 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
24 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11%
25 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
26 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
27 BARRIOS Diego 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
28 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
29 GONG zihao 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
30 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
31 KIM Theodore 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
32 WANG William 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
33 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
34 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
35 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
36 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 3%
36 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
38 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
39 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
40 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
41 KESSLER Nathan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
42 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
43 BYON Julian 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
44 YAN Kevin 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
45 MATTOO Surya 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
46 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
46 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
48 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
49 BONETTI Brayden 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
50 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
51 TSAO Oliver 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
52 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
53 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
54 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
55 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
56 OH Aster 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
57 ZHAO Yogi 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
58 SOWERS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
59 HO Jacob 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
60 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
61 SADHU Neiyam 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
62 HOLZ Lucas 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
63 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
64 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
65 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
65 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
67 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
68 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
69 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
70 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
71 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
72 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
73 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
74 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
75 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 13%
76 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
76 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
78 ZHOU James Y. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
79 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
80 ZHENG LEON 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
81 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3%
82 CHEN Samuel 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
83 GAO Albert 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
84 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
85 SIMATOS Luka D. 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
86 JONES Elijah 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% 1% -
87 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
88 MCDONALD Finn 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
89 ROSS Dash S. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
90 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
91 TIAGI George 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
92 BENSON Jacob 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
93 BREGADZE NODAR 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
94 DUNCAN Adlai 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
95 LAUB William 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
96 CLARK Aram 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
97 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
98 SUN Ziyao 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
98 WANG Weiyun 100% 94% 66% 25% 5% -
100 MISHRA Aadi 100% 89% 51% 16% 2% -
101 PORTER Dupree 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
102 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
103 WANG Max 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
104 WANG HongXi 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
105 ANAND Rishab 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
106 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
107 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% - -
108 WONG Caleb W. 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
109 MARGULIS Jared 100% 98% 80% 43% 14% 2% -
110 REHM Liam 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
111 XU Ivan 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
111 VEDRE Neil 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
113 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
114 PARCELL Colby 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
115 TSATSAS Andreas 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
116 ONG Dylan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
117 LIN Steve 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
117 FANG Eason 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
119 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
120 LIGH Checed 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
121 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
122 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
123 LEE Anderson 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
124 VALENCIA Jose 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
125 LIN Felix 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
126 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
127 CRAWFORD William 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
128 ANSARI Umayr 100% 36% 6% - - - -
129 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
130 CAI fungyu 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
131 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
132 SASSI Ilyas 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
133 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
134 KUMAR Arjun 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
135 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
136 BARROWS Hunter 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
137 CRAIN Bennett 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
138 RINALDI Savio 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
139 MUNJULURI ruhaan 100% 39% 7% 1% - -
140 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
141 FENG Brendan 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
142 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 50% 13% 2% - -
143 FRUTH Evan 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
144 LEMERY Marc 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
144 FERTIL Ethan 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
146 RILEY "Jack" 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
147 RICHMAN Izak 100% 28% 3% - - - -
148 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.