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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Monday, December 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Ruien - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 KETKAR Ketki - - - - 1% 16% 83%
3 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
3 MUELLER Emma M. 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
5 LEE Natasha - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
6 ZUHARS Renee A. - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
7 MILEWSKI Nicole - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
8 EDWARDS Auprell - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
9 CHEN Lefu - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
10 YU Nicole J. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
11 GEVA Eliana 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
12 GORNOVSKY Abigail - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
13 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
14 RUNIONS Emersyn - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
15 NEELAM Navya 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
16 ZHU Serene M. - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
17 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
18 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
19 LIN Elaine - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 7%
20 KHARCHYNA Polina - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
21 BECKMAN Ana - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
22 WANG Karen - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
23 YANG Alisa - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
24 LI Fei - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
25 GUJJA Misha - 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
26 SMUK Alexandra S. - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
27 SEMIKIN Julia - - 2% 12% 33% 37% 16%
28 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
29 IYER Ishana 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
30 CANNING Charlotte - 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
31 HAFEEZ Hiba 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
32 PULLEN Ayah 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
33 JOYAL Anne-Sophie - - 5% 19% 38% 31% 6%
34 RANDLEMAN Teresa - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
35 KORFONTA Jolie - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
36 CALDERA Lexi I. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
37 LEE Claire - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
38 KETKAR Mallika - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
39 SHU Youshan - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 2%
40 ZHENG Linden 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
40 CHI Chelsea - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
42 WONG Alexandra R. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
43 YAO Melinda - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
44 PADHYE Tanishka - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
45 BARG Daniella - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
46 LI Zhenni (Jenny) - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
47 YOU Emily - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
48 PEHLIVANI Zara - 1% 10% 32% 42% 15%
49 SHIV Avni - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
50 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - 1% 5% 22% 40% 28% 4%
51 FENG Ge - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
52 ZANGA Kaitlyn 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
53 XIAO Nancy 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
54 QI Julieanne 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
55 BASRALIAN Azniv 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
56 SUN MANRONG 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
57 ILYAS Ayah 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
58 ELSTON Sophia - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 6%
59 CHANG Celine A. 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
60 PRESMAN Aerin 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
61 HESS Heidi J. - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
62 SONG Angela - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
63 CHERNIS Zoe C. 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
64 WANG Elizabeth - < 1% - 3% 16% 43% 38%
65 NEMETH Katherine - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
66 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
67 FURMAN Maria 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
68 PRIHODKO Nina - 8% 29% 37% 21% 4%
69 DESAI Meera P. - 1% 7% 28% 43% 20%
70 MISHIMA Audrey 1% 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
71 PATIL Amulya - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
72 LIANG Jingjing 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
73 CARRIER Meredith - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
74 BEAVER Ava - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
75 KORKIN Alice 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
76 XU Grace (XinYi) - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
77 WANG Zoe 4% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1%
78 PECK Maia A. - 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
79 ANDERSON Claire 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
80 PEELER Julia 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
81 GANSER Nicole 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
82 AZMEH nour - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
83 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
84 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 3% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
85 QI Jarynne Valerie - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
86 CAMPBELL Eva 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
87 SHARMA Sanvi 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 2% -
88 AI Amy - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27% 2%
89 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
90 PINNAMANENI Drithi - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
91 KALE Anika A. 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
92 WANG Victoria 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
93 HUANG Lanlan 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
94 LEE Olivia - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
95 ABUELFUTUH Sama 1% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
96 ZHU Chenxi (Heidi) - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
97 LI Olivia 16% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
98 KUMAR Eva 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
99 SHELIN Chelsea - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
100 YUMIACO Nylah 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
100 MCSWEENEY Janie 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
102 WITTER Catherine A. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
103 CHATIKHINE Anastasia 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
103 CHANG Chloe 9% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
105 SMOTRITSKY Liat 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
106 KALGAONKAR Arohi 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
107 REKEDA Anna 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
108 BAWA Jenya 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
109 LEE Camilla 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
110 SENYUVA Su 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
111 SHEFFIELD Skye 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
112 YAO KATHARINE 16% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
113 LIN Victoria T. 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
114 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
115 VARAN Kateryna 25% 49% 22% 4% - - -
116 CHUANG Ramona 13% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
117 NAKA Emily 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
118 KUMAR Anusha 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
119 LOZIER Grace 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
119 MURPHY Katherine 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
119 MCKENNA Analise 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
119 MARTINEZ Christina 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
123 YOU Isabel B. 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
124 BI Michelle 45% 44% 9% 1% - - -
125 GAVASHELI Margarita 47% 40% 12% 1% - - -
125 SCANLAN Claire 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
127 LI Yixin Catherine 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
128 PILSON Rebecca 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
129 ELTERMAN Kate 28% 45% 22% 4% - - -
130 MAGALSKI Mary 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
131 RICHARDS Axelle 42% 44% 12% 1% - - -
132 BENSON Charlotte 82% 16% 1% - - -
133 FENG Iris 24% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -
134 GAN Shelby 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
135 FANG Kayla 29% 51% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.