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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	FELDMAN Drew	-	-	4%	20%	46%	30%
2	BOULAIS Andrew D.	-	3%	17%	36%	32%	11%
3	LIU Lawrence	-	-	3%	18%	44%	35%
3	BRANDT Jaden	-	-	2%	17%	50%	31%
5	DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie)	-	-	1%	14%	47%	37%
6	KATZ Ryan	-	-	5%	24%	46%	25%
7	LESUEUR Luke J.	-	-	4%	20%	42%	33%
8	WITCZAK Mateus	-	5%	22%	37%	28%	8%
9	CHEN Jonathan	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	27%
10	ATWOOD Griffin	-	1%	9%	33%	43%	15%
11	NOTOPRADONO Nicholas	-	8%	28%	37%	22%	5%
12	LEE Seungdon	3%	23%	45%	25%	4%	-
13	GONG zihao	-	3%	14%	34%	36%	13%
14	POWER Alex	3%	20%	37%	29%	10%	1%
15	PORTER Dupree	6%	26%	37%	24%	6%	1%
16	WANG Weiyun	2%	11%	30%	36%	18%	3%
17	BADUSHOV Anton	1%	11%	34%	36%	15%	2%
18	KIM Theodore	-	4%	18%	36%	33%	9%
19	HUANG Maxwell H.	1%	13%	34%	34%	15%	3%
20	SUN Andrew	1%	23%	42%	27%	6%	-
21	MARKARYAN Eric	8%	32%	38%	18%	3%	-
22	WANG Yifan	34%	42%	19%	4%	-	-
23	MATTINGLY Ian	30%	46%	21%	4%	-	-
24	WANG Michael	1%	17%	40%	32%	9%	1%
25	LIU Andrew	4%	22%	37%	27%	8%	1%
26	BANSAL Krishiv	29%	48%	20%	3%	-	-
27	GONG ziqian	-	5%	29%	46%	18%	2%
28	KOGAN Yelisey L.	1%	14%	39%	35%	11%	1%
29	CHAKRAVORTY Sohan	10%	32%	36%	17%	4%	-
30	PRIEUR Christian F.	3%	17%	35%	31%	12%	2%
31	JOSHI Raghav	-	8%	27%	37%	23%	5%
32	RILEY "Jack"	21%	40%	29%	9%	1%	-
33	MILLER Lucien B.	87%	13%	1%	-	-	-
33	ROORDA Easton	80%	18%	2%	-	-	-
35	MAGITSKY Isaac	34%	47%	17%	2%	-	-
36	ERICKSEN Finn	6%	27%	42%	23%	2%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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