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2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 17, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - - 3% 25% 71%
2 KIM Teddy - - 2% 9% 28% 41% 20%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - - 4% 27% 68%
3 MULDOON Thomas 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
5 GINZBURG Adam - - - 4% 33% 63%
6 MORIN-JIANG Jake - - 2% 9% 28% 41% 21%
7 MEHROTRA Neel - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
8 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
9 KIM Jayden - - - 3% 21% 50% 25%
10 LI zerong - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
11 SAUNIER Cameron - - - 5% 25% 45% 24%
12 TAI Edison - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
13 AHMED Mohsen - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
14 SINGLETON Aman - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
15 PARKER Isaiah - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
16 WONG Baron - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
17 BORISENKO Samuel - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
17 DECKER Hunter - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
19 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
20 QIAN Irvine - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
21 TESFAYE Elias - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
22 HERNDON Liam - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 12%
23 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
24 SOOS Whitman 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
25 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 2% 17% 51% 27% 4%
26 GOROZA Eric - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
27 LI Tristan - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
28 ZHAI Junqi - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
29 LEE Aiden - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
30 PAN Anthony - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
31 GREENMAN Duke 5% 25% 41% 23% 5% - -
32 YAO Tristan 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
33 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
34 MOORE Alexander - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
35 CHANG Matthew - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
36 KIM Alexander - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 6%
37 SUN Ethan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
38 VEERAVALLI Vivek - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
39 OLSON Joseph 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
40 GACIOCH Noah - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
41 VAN RIET Stefan 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
42 JAO Aaron 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
43 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
44 BARFORD Giovanni 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
45 HUANG Yidong Allen 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
46 LU Haoyang 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
47 NGUYEN Khanh 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
48 SU Samuel 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
49 WANG Devin 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
50 FU Adrian - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
51 PEREZ Daniel 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
52 ARMSTRONG Payson 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
53 KOSTUSIAK Evan 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
54 CHO Sean 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
55 WU Johnny y. 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
56 YAKHNIS Seth 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
57 LUO Alexander 1% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
58 DENG haoyu - 1% 6% 25% 41% 23% 4%
59 DADE Augustus 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% - -
60 YILMAZ Tarik - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
61 MAXU Tiger 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
62 CAFASSO Alexander 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
63 MA Ciel 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
64 SATHYAN Dev 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
65 DU Evan 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
66 SUMA Marvin - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
67 HUANG Ethan 42% 43% 13% 1% - -
68 MANGAN Hunter - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
69 KUANG Bryan - 1% 5% 22% 40% 29% 4%
70 KIM Remington 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
71 FENG Xinmin 17% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
72 MENG Haoyi 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
73 LIU Austin 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
74 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
75 ZHAI Christopher 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
76 SHAFFER Tyler 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
77 WALKER Mclain 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
78 GOODMAN Benjamin 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
79 LEE Daniel 1% 13% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
80 GOODMAN Liam 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
81 NAM Nathaniel 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
82 MASOR MAX 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
82 HURLEY Michael 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 7% 1%
84 XUE Kevin 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
85 MODI Rohan 1% 11% 38% 40% 10% -
86 HANTOV Adrian 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
86 NEWSOM Finn 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
88 CAMPOS Sebastian 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
89 GONIMA Francisco 12% 39% 36% 11% 1% -
90 WONG Alexander 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
90 WANG Lucas 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
92 LEWIS Michael 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
93 PLUMMER Kellan 1% 10% 34% 42% 12% 1%
94 VEERAVALLI Pranav 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% -
95 KIM Julian - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
96 KHERSONSKY Robert 3% 17% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
97 KICIMAN Leo 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
97 MILLER Xavier 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
99 CHEN Aiden 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
100 XUE Michael 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
101 WANG Jiacheng 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
102 LIU Max 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
103 SOLOMON Aryeh 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
103 KIM Alexander 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
105 YUE Bryan 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
106 WU Nathan - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16% 1%
107 HURT Stone 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
108 TUMULA Arihaan 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
108 BAO Caton 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
110 KIM Leejay 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
111 LINDERS Jackson 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
112 LEE Davidson 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
113 REYES Lucas 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.