January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, January 5, 2024 at 9:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
3 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
5 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
6 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
7 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 43%
8 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
9 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
9 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
11 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11% < 1%
12 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
13 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
14 ANDREEV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 35%
15 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
16 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 8%
17 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
18 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
19 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
20 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
21 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
22 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
23 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
24 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
25 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
26 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
27 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
28 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
29 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
30 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
31 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
32 OH Triton 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7% -
33 FIORETTO Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
34 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
35 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
36 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
37 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
38 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
38 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
38 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
41 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
42 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
43 WONG Ryan 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
44 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 29% 6%
45 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
46 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
46 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
48 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
49 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
50 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
51 WANG Robert 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
52 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
53 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
54 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
54 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
56 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
56 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
58 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
59 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18% 1%
60 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
61 LEE Aydan J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
62 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
63 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 1%
64 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
65 REN James 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% < 1%
66 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
67 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
68 SHOMAN Noah 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10% -
69 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
70 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
71 HOLZ William A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
72 STURN Oliver 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
73 YANG Dylan 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
74 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
75 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
76 XU William 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31% 2%
77 MAROUF Eyad 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
78 YAO JINTAO 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
79 YANG Richard 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
80 MUSGRAVE Walter N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 3%
81 HU Christopher 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
82 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
83 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
84 TSE Aiden J 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
85 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
85 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
85 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
88 BARRETO Elliott 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
89 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
90 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
91 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% -
92 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4%
93 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
94 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
95 HONG Rubin 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
96 LEE Noah 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
97 HUANG Alex F. 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
98 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 1%
99 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
100 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
101 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
102 PI Alexander 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
103 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
103 DEPEW Spencer 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3% -
105 DENG Andrew 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
106 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
107 NOBLE Colin 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
108 STONE Esmond A. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
109 HO Ian 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
110 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
111 BERKAY Deniz 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
112 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
113 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
114 FENG Leo 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
115 DALAL Rohan 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
116 MARGULIES William 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
117 PENG Bryan 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
118 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
119 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 13% 1%
120 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
121 KIM ELIJAH 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
122 LIU Lawrence 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
123 BOSITA Carson 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
124 QIU Nathan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
125 WANG Charles 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3% -
125 CASTRO-SOLIS HUGO ABEL 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 14% 1%
127 YAO JINCHENG 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
128 LE Hayden 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
129 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
130 ROBINSON William 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
131 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 14%
132 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 96% 76% 44% 15% 3% -
133 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
134 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
135 BROU Inkosi 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
136 YEN Preston 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6% -
137 BYON Julian 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
138 ZENG Noah 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 4% -
139 KANG Evan R. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
140 LUO George F. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
141 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% -
142 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% -
143 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
144 DUDNICK Christian 100% 82% 37% 7% 1% - -
145 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 3%
146 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
147 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
147 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 96% 73% 25% 3% -
147 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
150 BARRIOS Diego 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
151 LIN Steve 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
152 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 92% 62% 20% 2%
153 LIN Daniel 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
154 BULL Anderson 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
155 TIAGI Daniel 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
156 RAMANAN Govind 100% 92% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
157 SOWERS Samuel 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
158 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
158 ZHAO Lucas 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
160 TAO Jeffrey 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
161 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
162 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
163 CRAIG Samuel 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
163 CHEN Samuel 100% 65% 19% 2% - - -
165 KANG Evan 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
166 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
166 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
166 KOTOV Leonid 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
169 BYON Adrian 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
170 WHEELER Nathaniel C. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
170 KUMAR Sachit 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
172 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
173 TENG MATTHEW 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
174 VO Minh Q. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
175 YAN Kevin 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
176 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% -
177 MICHELL Bailey 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
178 SCHARDINE James 100% 74% 30% 6% - -
179 VAID Luke 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
180 HAN William 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
181 SUORSA Markus 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
181 KILARI Krish 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
183 MATTOO Surya 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
183 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 97% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
185 ZHANG Derek 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5% -
186 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
187 MATTOO Deven 100% 33% 5% - - - -
187 AKS Ari 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
189 MAY Griffin M. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
190 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
191 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
192 BONSELL Vance 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
192 HONG Steven 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4% -
192 SU Landon 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
195 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
196 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
197 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
198 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
199 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
200 NG Jonathan 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
201 HWANG Jayden 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% - -
202 SO Si Hang Alvin 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
203 GAO Albert 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
203 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
205 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
206 CHEN Howard 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
206 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 92% 59% 17% 2% - -
206 FOX Gavin 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
209 POFF Kainoa 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
209 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
211 BAUER Hank E. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
211 LIM Joshua 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
211 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
214 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
214 WANG William 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
216 HUANG Zekai 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
217 TANN Justin 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
218 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
219 VENU Ram 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.