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January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, January 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 EMMER Chase T. - - - 3% 16% 40% 39%
3 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - - - - - 1% 6% 15% 26% 29% 18% 5%
3 KUMBLA Samarth - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
6 LOUIE Bryce - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
7 UM Ethan A. - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
8 LI Richard - - - - - 1% 6% 15% 26% 28% 17% 6% 1%
9 YU Vinni - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% -
10 KIM Nicholas W. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 8%
11 LEE Jacob J - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
12 LI Brandon H. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
13 FUKUDA Alessio R. - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% -
14 LEVY Jasper - - - - - - - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 7%
15 ZHANG Daniel D. - 2% 8% 22% 33% 26% 8%
16 OURSLER Jack 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
17 KELLY William J. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
18 BROSZUS Blake J. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
19 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
20 LIU Justin - - - - - 1% 5% 16% 29% 30% 15% 3%
21 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 4% 1% - -
22 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - 1% 5% 14% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% - -
23 CHEN Allen - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
24 BANERJEE ANUP 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
24 HUTH Jacob - 2% 8% 18% 26% 23% 14% 6% 2% - - -
26 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - 1% 4% 12% 25% 30% 20% 7% 1%
27 GRIFFITH JACK - - - - 1% 4% 13% 25% 29% 19% 7% 1% -
28 DIERKS Kian - - 2% 6% 15% 23% 24% 17% 8% 3% 1% - -
29 JEON Caleb A. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
30 LEWIS Akhil - 1% 4% 14% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% - - - -
31 GOOR Julian - - - 1% 5% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% -
32 WONG Adam L. - - - 1% 3% 11% 22% 29% 22% 10% 2% -
33 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
34 ZHANG Andy W. - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 7% 2% -
35 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - - 1% 6% 16% 28% 28% 16% 5% -
36 GASSNER Ethan I. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
37 NDIAYE Edriss G. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
38 LAO Scott E. - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
39 LI Jiaan - - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% -
40 CHEN Yi-Tung - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
41 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 26% 21% 11% 3% -
42 LEE Benjamin H. - - - - - 1% 5% 13% 24% 28% 20% 8% 1%
42 COELHO Cristiano P. - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 27% 20% 9% 3% - - -
44 KAO Castor T. - - - 1% 5% 12% 22% 26% 20% 10% 3% -
44 CHEN Ziyuan - - - - - 1% 5% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
46 VOGLER Justin K. - - - - - 1% 4% 11% 22% 29% 23% 10% 1%
46 MIN Eric - 3% 13% 24% 27% 19% 9% 3% 1% < 1% - - -
48 CULLIVAN Justice 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 11% 2%
49 KIM Brandon J. - - - - 1% 2% 8% 18% 26% 25% 14% 4% -
50 CHEN Andrew - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
51 KIM Yonjae - - - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 7% 2% -
52 BURKE Spencer W. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
53 BOURTIS James S. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
54 RUSADZE Nickolas 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
55 WONG Adrian - 1% 5% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 3% 1% - -
56 FUKUDA Renzo K. - - - 1% 4% 10% 20% 25% 22% 12% 4% 1% -
57 LEE Aidan - - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
58 BRUK Peter J. - 1% 3% 9% 18% 24% 23% 15% 6% 2% - -
59 DESERANNO Jeidus 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
60 GRAHAM Roy J. 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
61 ROSE Ben - - 3% 8% 17% 24% 23% 15% 7% 2% - - -
62 TOTUSEK Marek - - - - < 1% 2% 8% 17% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1%
63 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - 2% 10% 22% 29% 22% 11% 3% 1% - - -
64 HUTH Mitchell - - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% -
65 DIVITO Dylan - - - - 1% 6% 14% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% -
66 LI Matthew 1% 5% 15% 26% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - - - -
67 PRILUTSKY David B. - - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 27% 24% 13% 3% -
68 KORABLIN Anton - - - - 2% 6% 16% 25% 26% 17% 7% 1% -
69 SIU Aiden - - - 3% 9% 19% 27% 24% 13% 4% 1% - -
69 HASSANIN Mohamed - - - 1% 3% 9% 20% 27% 23% 13% 4% 1% -
71 DICKSON Farr R. - - - - 1% 4% 13% 24% 27% 20% 9% 2% -
71 YU Jason 2% 11% 25% 29% 20% 9% 3% 1% - - - - -
73 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - - < 1% 1% 6% 16% 26% 27% 16% 5% 1%
74 BAS Liam - - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% -
74 LO Conrad - - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% - -
76 LEWIS Paul D. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
77 LI Owen - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 27% 20% 10% 3% - -
78 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - - 1% 5% 14% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1%
79 KNIZHNIK David - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 8% 2% - - -
79 CHEN Boris 1% 6% 16% 25% 24% 16% 8% 2% 1% - - -
81 LI Raphael C. - - 1% 4% 12% 21% 26% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
82 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - - 1% 5% 14% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1% -
83 LIN Michael 1% 4% 13% 23% 26% 20% 10% 4% 1% - - - -
84 ZHENG Alan H. - - 1% 6% 15% 23% 25% 18% 8% 3% - - -
85 YANG Luao - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
86 DESANDO Michael R. - - - 1% 5% 13% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% - -
87 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - -
88 LEYNEN DUBUS Victor 5% 19% 29% 26% 14% 6% 1% - - - - - -
89 SINGH Dayaal 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
90 CHEN James P. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
91 KIM Ryan Y. - - 1% 4% 12% 24% 28% 20% 9% 3% - - -
92 ONIK Elijah T. 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
93 HE Patrick 1% 6% 17% 27% 25% 15% 6% 2% - - - - -
94 CHEN Raymond - - - - 2% 8% 18% 26% 25% 15% 5% 1%
94 XIAO EDWARD - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
96 XIAO Enoch A. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
97 LEE Chris - 3% 11% 25% 30% 20% 8% 2% - - - -
98 WYMAN Julian - 4% 14% 25% 27% 18% 8% 2% - - - - -
99 WU Alexander - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
100 TANG Owen S. - 2% 12% 28% 35% 20% 4%
101 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
102 WANG Brian S. - - - 2% 20% 78%
103 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
104 KASI Sanjay - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
105 LIN James G. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
106 MCCLAIN Bryce C. - - 1% 6% 26% 46% 21%
107 JAIN Aditya - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
107 LANG Dong Lin 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
109 LI Eric - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
110 MILLER Jeffrey E. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
110 PYO Michael M. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
112 BAE Kevin - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
113 ZHAI Jeffrey - 2% 8% 22% 33% 26% 8%
114 SISINNI Riccardo - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
115 SENIC Lucas 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
116 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
117 CO Dylan 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 10% 2%
118 SONG Aiden S. - - 3% 14% 35% 35% 12%
119 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
120 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
121 WU Nicholas - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
122 TEMPLE Jackson - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
122 YANG Andy H. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
124 JANG Jaewon - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
125 LU Yikai 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
126 LEE Brendan 1% 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
127 SHA Yi Peng 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
128 CORTRIGHT Skipper 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
129 MORROW Brenden 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
130 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
131 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
132 BING Charles - 1% 10% 35% 46% 8%
133 HAN Changhee 1% 13% 36% 38% 11% 1%
134 ZENG Lucas H. 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
135 SADOVSKY Leor B. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
136 KIM John J. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
137 GONG Benjamin 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
138 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
139 LI Toby 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
140 GUERRA Gabriel H. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
141 NGUYEN Martin 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
142 PARK Jason B. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
143 DEGROOT Blake 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
144 ALONSO Vinicius 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
145 AHN Jun 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3%
145 LI Samuel 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
147 SONG Leonardo T. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
148 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 4% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
149 GRASS Andrew E. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
150 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 10% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
151 LIN Youlong 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
152 WU DING-JUN 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 3% -
153 CANLAS Nathan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
154 ZOBEL Eric H. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
155 JIANG Owen 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
156 WOO Christian 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
157 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
158 LI Daniel J. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
159 SEAL Maximus R. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
160 LI Aaron 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
161 ZHANG Luke T. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
162 MYERS Dean 8% 27% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
163 ZHANG Yun Isaac - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
164 LUH Ethan K. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
165 JAUME Andrei 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
166 PALMA Matthew Dominic 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
167 KLOTZ Isaiah 1% 7% 26% 40% 24% 2%
168 DETERING Julian 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
169 LEVY Jacob M. - 1% 8% 29% 43% 18%
170 TANG August L. 9% 33% 39% 17% 1% -
171 LOVIN Vlad 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
172 HOSKERI Anik S. 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
173 PO Oliver 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
174 QIAN Jason H. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
175 DESAI Nalin H. - 6% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1%
175 FORTUNE Alexander J. - 3% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
177 LEE Jonah - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11% 1%
178 SMITH Grant D. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
178 RASMUSSEN Sage 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
180 GAO William 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
181 MIALL Steven A. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
182 GAO Payton 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% - -
183 ZHAO Bowen 13% 37% 35% 12% 2% - -
184 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
185 PAI Lakshan K. 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
186 MATSAKH Philip 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
187 CANO Marcos E. 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
188 DORAN Wesley C. 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
189 CHIN Julian S. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% -
190 CHENG Alex N. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
191 LO Preston 9% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
192 EDISON Ansel 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
193 ANDERSON Jacob 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
194 LIPPMAN Sam 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
195 BARTEL Jacob L. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
196 WU Alber Y. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
197 KIM Jackson 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
198 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
199 WONG Garrick G. 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
199 IVANENKO Alex 33% 42% 20% 5% - - -
201 TAN Christien 6% 32% 39% 18% 4% - -
202 CHENG Nathan 5% 21% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
203 SCHLESINGER Nathan 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
204 FINLEY Dylan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
205 KAISER Hans Z. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
205 MA Andrew 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
205 NICOLETTI Luca 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
205 HAINES Ethan 6% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
209 SUAREZ Adrian 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
210 KUZMAK Michael J. 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
211 PAN Henry 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
211 LEE Eugene 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
213 LEE Seungwon 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
214 GOBBO Alexander 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
215 DORE Davis 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
216 ORR Spencer 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
217 SONG Noel 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
218 ZHANG Aaron 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
219 DAVIDSON Elliot 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
220 WU Trevor 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
221 LEVY Jacob 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
222 SIMA Congyu Josh 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
223 HU Robin 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
224 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 14% 38% 35% 12% 1% -
225 WANG Ethan 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
226 DINSAY Kristjan 8% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
226 TALASILA Arush 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
228 DAVIS Christopher M. 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
229 CHOI Ethan 8% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
230 HAMMER Zachary (Zack) W. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
231 WUJASTYK Leon 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
232 HUANG Eythan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
233 GUTIERREZ Nick A. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
233 XIAO Ethan J. - < 1% 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
235 ZHAO Jason L. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
235 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
237 GOGOI Vir K. 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
238 SHAGIDANYAN German 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
239 BROWN Darius D. 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
239 PONS Diego 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
241 UPTON Craig 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
242 ROUNTREE Rob 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
243 FUKUDA Diego 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
244 LEE Jacob - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
245 LEE Christopher T. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
246 LI Avery Peihong 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
247 YOON DYLAN 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
248 KONG Luculentus X. 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
249 MUSHER Benjamin J. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
250 WONG Yuheng Isaac 17% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
251 SUNG Chang-Han S. 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
252 GERVAIS Joel 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
252 TSAO Lukas 4% 23% 44% 27% 3% -
254 KRYLTSOV Michael 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
255 HUANG Jonathan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
256 GIRALDO Pablo E. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
256 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
256 YAP Nathan 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
259 LEWIS Jared 48% 39% 12% 2% - -
260 WENDLER Alexander J. 1% 8% 22% 31% 25% 11% 2%
260 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
262 REYES Omar 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
263 NGUYEN Liam 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
263 LAK Isaac 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
265 ELKOUSY Laith H. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
266 WU Lucas 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
267 HOBSON Aaron K. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
267 GONZALEZ Matthew 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
267 FLANAGAN James 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.