January NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, January 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 WASHINGTON Isis - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
2 GU Sarah - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
3 JAKEL Sophia N. - - - - - 1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 24% 11% 2%
3 YIN Julia - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
5 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
6 CEBULA Anne - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
7 MACHULSKY Leehi - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
8 FALLON Kyle R. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
9 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
10 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
11 XIAO Ruien - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
12 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
13 LIN Jessica Y. - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
14 CHU Audrey - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
15 CHIN Isabella - - 4% 16% 36% 36% 8%
16 WU Fan - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 13% 4% 1% -
17 LEE REGINA - - - 1% 5% 14% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1% -
18 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 24% 29% 21% 8% 1%
19 PARK Faith K. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
20 JOYCE Michaela - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
21 WATRALL Christina - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
22 TOBY Natalia R. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
23 ZUHARS Renee A. - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 1%
24 KIM Zoe L. - - - 1% 4% 12% 23% 27% 20% 9% 2% - -
25 HU Grace - - - - 2% 7% 16% 26% 27% 16% 5% 1%
26 PADHYE Tanishka 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
27 WEBER Nora - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% - -
28 MAO Amy - - - 1% 3% 9% 20% 27% 24% 13% 4% -
29 CHEN Lefu - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 27% 23% 12% 3% -
30 GRADY Miriam A. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
31 LEE Sumin - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 27% 26% 15% 4% 1%
31 YANG Alisa - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
33 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
34 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 25% 23% 14% 5% 1% -
35 KETKAR Ketki - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
36 LUO Ashley - - - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 1% -
37 SPRINGER Sierra - - 2% 6% 16% 25% 26% 16% 6% 2% - -
38 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
39 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - 2% 14% 41% 44%
40 BECKMAN Ana - 1% 6% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
41 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
42 SWENSON Nikita G. - - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 3% 1% - -
43 GANDHI Sedna S. - - - - - - 2% 8% 19% 30% 27% 12% 2%
44 NGUYEN Tallulah - - - 1% 3% 8% 18% 27% 25% 14% 4% 1% -
45 YAO Melinda - 1% 4% 12% 24% 28% 20% 9% 3% - - -
46 KORFONTA Jolie - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 2%
47 GEVA Eliana 1% 8% 21% 28% 23% 12% 5% 1% - - - - -
48 FENG Ge - 2% 10% 21% 28% 22% 11% 4% 1% - - -
49 WANG Zoe 1% 5% 15% 27% 27% 17% 7% 2% - - - -
50 ZIGALO Elizabeth - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
51 YOU Emily - 3% 10% 21% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - -
52 CAFASSO Natalya - 1% 4% 12% 22% 26% 20% 11% 4% 1% - - -
53 BASSA Francesca A. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
54 YAMANAKA Mina - - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10%
54 SHIV Avni - 3% 10% 21% 27% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - - -
56 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu - 4% 16% 32% 33% 14% 1%
57 HAMILTON Pauline S. - - 1% 3% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% -
58 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - 1% 3% 9% 19% 26% 23% 13% 5% 1% - -
59 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. - - - - - - 3% 10% 22% 31% 24% 9% 1%
60 KUZNETSOV Victoria - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
61 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 25% 32% 21% 6%
62 MILLETTE Marie Frederique - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 26% 16% 5% 1%
63 WANG Karen - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
64 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% -
65 DAHER Yasmine - 3% 11% 21% 26% 21% 11% 4% 1% - - - -
66 THAÍS DA SILVA Marcela - 1% 6% 15% 24% 24% 17% 8% 3% 1% - - -
67 SMUK Daria A. - 3% 11% 22% 27% 21% 11% 3% 1% - - - -
68 WELLS Tesla M. - 1% 5% 16% 26% 26% 16% 7% 2% - - -
69 SMUK Alexandra S. - - 2% 8% 17% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
70 DAVIS Jessica L. - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 8% 2% - - -
71 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. - - 1% 3% 9% 18% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% - -
71 BEZUGLAYA Varvara - - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
73 XIONG Angelica 1% 5% 16% 26% 26% 16% 7% 2% - - - - -
74 YU Nicole J. - 1% 4% 12% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
75 YAO Yilin - 2% 9% 19% 26% 22% 13% 6% 2% - - - -
76 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - - - 1% 3% 10% 22% 29% 23% 10% 2% -
77 MUELLER Emma M. - 3% 11% 23% 27% 21% 11% 3% 1% - - -
77 LAN Alice S. - 1% 3% 11% 21% 27% 22% 11% 4% 1% - -
79 LIU Christina A. - 2% 7% 16% 24% 24% 17% 8% 2% 1% - - -
80 DONDISCH Sophia - 2% 7% 17% 25% 24% 16% 7% 2% - - -
81 PRESMAN Aerin 5% 17% 28% 26% 15% 6% 2% - - - - - -
82 WITTER Catherine A. - 1% 6% 15% 25% 26% 17% 7% 2% - - - -
83 DU Eiry - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 22% 12% 4% 1% - - -
84 JOYAL Anne-Sophie - 1% 3% 9% 19% 25% 23% 14% 6% 1% - - -
85 KUKVA Taisiya 1% 6% 16% 25% 25% 17% 8% 2% - - - - -
86 WATTANAKIT Anda - 1% 4% 13% 23% 26% 20% 10% 3% 1% - - -
87 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca - - - - 1% 4% 12% 24% 29% 21% 8% 1%
88 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - 2% 7% 16% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - - -
89 MEHROTRA Anya - - - 2% 8% 18% 27% 26% 15% 5% 1%
90 SMOTRITSKY Mia - - 1% 4% 10% 19% 25% 22% 13% 5% 1% - -
91 HANSEN Kira - - - 1% 3% 10% 20% 26% 23% 12% 4% 1% -
92 YOUNG VIVIAN 1% 6% 18% 28% 25% 15% 5% 1% - - - -
93 KIM Jayna 4% 17% 29% 27% 15% 6% 1% - - - - -
94 CHA Eugenie 5% 19% 30% 26% 14% 5% 1% - - - - -
95 ASHER Valerie - - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 9% 2% - -
96 LIU Nicole 3% 14% 27% 28% 18% 7% 2% - - - - - -
97 DALEY Keira 17% 34% 30% 14% 4% 1% - - - - - -
98 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
99 HONG Elaine - 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
100 FABBRO Izabela - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
101 LU Junyao - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
102 TYLER Syd - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
103 HEPLER Sarah 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
104 MARTYNOVA Diana 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
105 GUO Luxi 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
106 SONG Angela - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
107 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
108 XUAN Nicole J. - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
109 NGUYEN Kaylin A. - 2% 11% 33% 41% 14%
110 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
111 POHREBNA Yeva 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
112 VAN MARION Kirsten C. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
113 SUN MANRONG 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
114 SYKES Elynor 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
115 AI Amy - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 6%
116 BEITTEL Chloe F. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
117 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
118 LEE Olivia 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
119 BUSH emma 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
120 HUANG Lanlan 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
121 KANESHIGE Christina Y. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
122 MARCHANT Sandra M. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
122 QI Jarynne Valerie 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
124 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) - 1% 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
125 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
126 REID Anousheh 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
126 DESAI Meera P. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
128 LEUNG Natalie - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
129 BEI Karen - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
130 ZHANG Victoria R. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
131 CHEN Jingyun 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
132 LOMBARD Ella - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
133 CARRIER Meredith 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
134 LEE Natasha - 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
135 SOBUS Yanka 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
136 CALDERA Lexi I. - 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
136 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 1% 8% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
138 LENDIS Gabrielle 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
139 CHERNIS Zoe C. 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
139 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
141 LIN Elaine - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
142 KALE Anika A. 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
143 WANG Elizabeth - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
144 LIU Baihan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
145 RUNIONS Emersyn 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
146 LORD Sarah-Eve 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
147 BASRALIAN Azniv 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
148 IYER Ishana 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
149 CAMPBELL Eva 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
150 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
151 SHU Youshan 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
152 SU Evelyn 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
153 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 11% 2%
153 CHUANG Ramona 46% 42% 10% 1% - - -
153 EDWARDS Auprell 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
156 KANASKAR Ila 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
157 BOTNER Olivia 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
157 WANG Jessie 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
159 PINNAMANENI Drithi 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
160 ANDERSON Claire 15% 36% 33% 14% 2% -
161 KORKIN Alice 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
162 AZMEH nour 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
163 MANDAP Svetlanna 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
164 SHELIN Chelsea 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
165 LIANG Jingjing 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
166 LONADIER Keira 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
167 KIM Elizabeth Y. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
167 GAO Judy 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
169 WANG Victoria 46% 39% 13% 2% - -
170 MUN Brianna K. 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
171 CANNING Charlotte 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
172 NAKA Emily 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
173 LI Fei 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
174 KETKAR Mallika - < 1% 4% 17% 33% 32% 12%
175 CHANG Chloe 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
176 XU Grace (XinYi) - < 1% 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
176 LIN Ashley 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
176 PHUKAN Indra 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
179 CHANG Celine A. 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
180 PRIHODKO Nina 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
181 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
182 SALISTRA Emilia 21% 47% 26% 6% 1% - -
183 PAN Michelle 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
183 SHARMA Sanvi 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
183 BEAVER Ava 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
183 ZHOU Wenjun 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
187 SENYUVA Su 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
188 WANG Angelina 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
189 LI Judy 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
190 ENRILE Erica 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
191 WONG Alexandra R. 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
191 LIN Ariel 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
193 LIN Victoria T. 18% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
194 AIRES Julia 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
195 HSIU Elizabeth 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
196 PEHLIVANI Zara < 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
197 NING Emma < 1% 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
198 LEE Camilla 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
199 UNGURIANU Nika 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
200 BYRON Karen J. 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.