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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHAN Jolene	-	-	2%	15%	42%	41%
2	GAIKWAD Ashmiee	-	-	3%	29%	47%	21%
3	KIM Satie	1%	7%	23%	35%	26%	8%	1%
3	WONG Natalie	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	13%
5	LIN Elaine	-	-	-	4%	19%	42%	35%
6	LIU kai yin aria	-	2%	13%	34%	37%	14%
7	TONG Laurie	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	8%
8	CAI Veronica	2%	13%	35%	35%	14%	2%
9	JOHNSON Heaven	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
10	ZHAO Abbie	-	3%	15%	36%	34%	12%
11	HAN Emma	-	3%	14%	35%	36%	12%
12	NAVARRO LARIOS KATE	-	-	3%	15%	34%	36%	12%
13	LIAO Jieni	-	-	6%	37%	43%	14%
14	LEI Zitong (Meya)	-	-	2%	19%	47%	32%
15	WANG Jiayi	-	6%	25%	40%	24%	5%
16	KIM Saeren	2%	16%	35%	32%	12%	2%
17	ZHAI AMY	-	2%	14%	34%	36%	14%
18	SUNG Isabella	-	2%	16%	36%	34%	11%
19	MUNGUIA Mila	-	1%	7%	25%	42%	25%
20	LIN Annika	-	1%	11%	33%	39%	15%
21	CHEN Elaine	-	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%
22	KIM Yeju	1%	10%	29%	37%	20%	4%
23	JUNG Sienna	35%	43%	18%	4%	-	-
24	NING Lynn	1%	8%	26%	36%	23%	6%	1%
25	YAWITZ Daniella	4%	22%	36%	27%	10%	2%	-
26	OCA Merci	1%	8%	33%	38%	18%	3%
27	KIRBY Skye	20%	46%	27%	7%	1%	-
28	CHEN Colette	-	5%	21%	39%	28%	6%
29	HSIEH Lucia	20%	44%	28%	7%	1%	-
30	LEE Madeleine	13%	38%	34%	13%	2%	-
31	PARK Chloe	31%	44%	21%	4%	-	-
32	VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca	33%	43%	20%	4%	-	-
33	PANCHAL Arya	58%	36%	6%	-	-	-
34	CAI Joanna	6%	26%	37%	24%	6%	1%
35	KIM Alexia	1%	10%	32%	37%	17%	3%
36	DANG Madeleine	3%	27%	54%	15%	1%	-
37	MEI Chloe	52%	39%	8%	1%	-	-
38	HENRY Erin	40%	43%	14%	2%	-	-
39	SAYONE Liliana	19%	56%	23%	2%	-	-
40	CHANG Kaitlyn	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%	-
41	ASPIRAS Avery	35%	41%	19%	4%	-	-	-
42	SUN Angela	2%	25%	41%	25%	6%	1%
43	PATIL Jyothi	14%	43%	32%	10%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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