The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Junior Women's Foil

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Main Ballroom - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OH Ceana - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
2 SAIFEE Lamya - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 OLSHANSKY Eliora S. - 2% 15% 39% 36% 9%
3 CHOI Kailyn - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
5 DO Leila - - 1% 13% 44% 42%
6 SUN Emily - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
7 LUH Mia P. - 9% 32% 40% 18% 1%
8 LIU Samantha 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1%
9 RANDOLPH Piper - - - 3% 23% 74%
10 PENG Serena - - 4% 22% 49% 25%
11 MORALES Paulina - 1% 5% 22% 40% 29% 4%
12 HSU Kaylin - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
13 RAO Sonia D. - - 5% 22% 42% 31%
14 GUO Audrey - 3% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
15 WU Chingfei Amber 6% 32% 40% 19% 3% -
16 LAY Apollonia 1% 15% 39% 35% 9% 1%
17 LEVESQUE Brielle - 19% 41% 31% 8% -
18 YONG Rosalind 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
19 ANDONIAN Lauren 2% 22% 42% 27% 6% -
20 WANG Celine S. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
21 LIN Allison 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
22 ZHANG Ivy - 9% 33% 39% 17% 1%
23 ZHENG Zoe 1% 13% 43% 33% 9% 1%
24 ESTRADA Alondra 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
25 OROPEZA tamara - 12% 36% 37% 14% 1%
26 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
27 HAN Kate 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
28 ZHU Yunyao - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
29 MA Yifei (Olivia) 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
30 MA Emily(Yiming) 46% 44% 10% 1% - -
31 CHOI Sophie 5% 31% 42% 20% 3% -
32 CHUI Karisa 23% 48% 24% 5% - -
33 TAN Shouyin 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
34 CHANG Janelle 29% 46% 21% 4% - -
35 SINGH Sania 63% 31% 5% - - -
36 MOORADIAN Anya 2% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
37 KULKARNI myra 95% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.