Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Grace - - - - 1% 13% 87%
2 JOO Natalie - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 YACOBUCCI Nadia - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 15%
3 WANG Joanna - - - - 3% 25% 72%
5 HARRIS Julia - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
6 WANG Amabel - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
7 KRAHE Annika - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
8 PARK Zena - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
9 MCFARLANE Asha - - 1% 8% 30% 45% 16%
10 LI Joy - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
11 WANG DINA C. - - - 5% 27% 49% 18%
12 LI Alice - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
13 MAGALLANES GABRIELA - - - - 6% 36% 57%
14 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - - - - 7% 38% 54%
15 PUTHOFF Olivia - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 5%
16 DONG Iris - - - 6% 27% 49% 18%
17 FIELD Elizabeth - - - - 6% 38% 55%
18 CAI Ilana - - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
19 SIROTA Francis - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
20 CULLIVAN Sienna - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
21 LIN Yunong - - 1% 7% 27% 46% 20%
22 SHAOOLIAN Maya - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 2%
23 HOROWITZ Shuli - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
24 LI Savannah - 1% 5% 24% 47% 24%
25 SINGH Evangelina 4% 21% 37% 29% 9% 1%
26 ORRINGER Lottie - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
27 LEE Jeemin - - 1% 7% 28% 49% 16%
28 FEDER Acadia 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
29 JIANG Chloe - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
30 FU Pui Lam (Paisley) 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
31 KNAPP Isabella - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
32 SHIN Elizabeth - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
33 MUMMANENI Samyuta - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
34 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
35 YIN Chloe - 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
36 MCSHERRY Kayla - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 12%
37 ZHANG Lian - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
38 CHUNG Stella 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
39 FRASER Morgan 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% -
39 CAO Amelie 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
41 DE CASTRO Kai - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
42 BO Iris 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
43 EYER Brooke - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 3%
44 HU Sophie 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
44 TELEB Farida 1% 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
46 CHEN Aimee 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
47 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily - 3% 19% 39% 31% 7% -
47 ZHANG Zoey 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
49 LEO Jenna 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
50 DINAR Julia 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
51 BAULIN Zoya 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
51 BOIKE Lucille - 1% 7% 26% 41% 21% 3%
53 BING Charlotte - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
54 BALIN Sophia 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
55 KIM Lauren 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
56 RAFFAELE Nancy 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
57 MALIK Manha - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
58 KIM Sophia 1% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
59 BRADSHAW Tamira 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
60 JOO Sara 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
61 KIM Natalie 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
62 VENZON Makena Jane 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
63 RIVERA Leahy 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
64 LIU Sophia 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
65 MURPHY Genevieve 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
66 KENNEDY Izadora - 1% 9% 31% 42% 15% 1%
67 WATSON Evelyn 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
68 BENNETT Emi 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
69 BYK Karalina - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6% -
70 ZHANG Selina 6% 31% 40% 19% 3% - -
71 MACKINTOSH Quinn 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
72 LI Doreen 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
73 JAZWINSKI Ivy 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
74 WU Maggie Lei - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
75 HEMPHILL Mia 4% 26% 41% 23% 5% - -
76 KOU Elisha 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
77 HO Peyton 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
78 ZHILKOV Anya - 4% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
79 SHUTZER Lily - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
80 YUE Alice 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
81 ZAMLYNNY Victoria 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
82 FENG Claire 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
83 PAEK Mila 1% 11% 34% 37% 14% 2% -
84 CHAN Jolene - 3% 16% 36% 33% 10% 1%
85 KUTATELADZE Anna 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
86 TEPMAN Zoey 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
87 WANG Allyson 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
88 REILLY Carys 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
89 PARK Hannah 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
90 YOUM Amelia 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% - -
91 PHAN Logan 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
92 SAMALA Reese 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
93 NWODO Naila 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
94 KIM Alison 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
94 ACERBI-SAVLOFF Emma 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
96 OWEN Alexandra 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% - -
96 ELLISON Ingrid 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
98 CHOI Cara 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
99 LI Emma Jing 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
100 ALLEN Sophia 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
101 YANG Olivia 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
102 SHTEPA Sofia 3% 23% 40% 26% 6% - -
103 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
104 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
105 HUANG Gabrielle 64% 30% 5% - - - -
106 XU Selina (Tai Ran) 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
107 CAPPIELLO Francesca 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
108 BENTLEY Amelia 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
109 ZHENG Annalyn 5% 31% 41% 19% 4% - -
110 HUFFMAN Yunia 6% 35% 39% 17% 3% - -
111 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
111 SOMAN Indraa 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
113 XIE Sophia 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
114 FILABI Aliya-Kay 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
115 BRUNDIN Olivia 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
116 KIRBY Emelie 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
116 LONG Rose 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.