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Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KLOTZ Isaiah - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 QIAN Jason H. - - - - 2% 19% 80%
3 TIKHAEV Alexander - - - - 7% 40% 53%
3 HUANG Eythan - - 1% 10% 40% 50%
5 TANG August L. - - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
6 PARRISH Evan - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
7 JIANG Bowang - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
8 LU Nathan 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
9 CHEN Kyle P. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
10 ELKOUSY Zain al Din - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
11 GHEDINI Luca - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
12 LEE Eugene - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
13 YAP Nathan - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
14 GERRISH William - - 5% 23% 43% 27% 2%
15 CHENG Logan - 5% 23% 42% 25% 5%
16 MAO Lucas - 1% 7% 30% 44% 18%
17 VADEN Oliver - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
18 TANG Alexander L. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
19 ZHAO Adam - - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
20 TANG Albert - - - - 6% 32% 62%
21 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
22 BORKOWSKI Olgierd - - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16%
23 ZENG Rick - 2% 19% 41% 30% 8%
24 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
25 GUTH Joseph - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 19%
26 ARCE Andrew W. - - 2% 13% 40% 36% 9%
27 SIMONOV Timofey - - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9%
28 WONG Jackson - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
29 XU Andy P. - - - 3% 14% 39% 43%
29 CHUANG Oscar - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
31 ROZALSKI Eli - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
32 CHO Xzander - 1% 6% 24% 42% 25% 2%
33 LI Edison M. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
34 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - - 4% 27% 50% 19%
35 TJON Calum 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
36 MARTIN Darius - - 4% 18% 38% 34% 6%
37 CHONG Tristan - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
38 KAPOOR Aayan - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
39 HE Kyle - - 4% 25% 40% 25% 5%
40 XIE Jicheng 2% 16% 40% 32% 9% 1%
41 SHENG Dalton - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
42 BLEIL Tyler - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
42 SMOLICH Marat - - 2% 19% 49% 26% 3%
44 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
45 HUA Aaron - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
46 CHEN Ethan - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
47 ZHENG Marcus 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
48 SUAREZ Adrian - - 7% 29% 42% 20%
48 BAI Brian - 4% 28% 42% 23% 4%
50 XU Dinghui Ryan 4% 28% 42% 22% 4% -
51 LI Allen 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
52 YU William - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
53 SENANI Arjun - 4% 22% 45% 24% 5% -
54 BAI Austin - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10% 1%
55 MO Ethan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
56 HAN Alexander 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
57 FENG Michael - 1% 8% 32% 45% 14%
58 ONIK Ari N. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
59 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
60 ABRAMKIN Tim 10% 38% 40% 11% 1% - -
61 FRASER Rhys 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
62 BAKSHI Aman 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4% -
63 KENNEDY christo 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
64 PRUT Anton 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
65 LEVY Jacob - - 1% 9% 35% 41% 14%
66 SICAT Justin 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2% -
67 MANDZY Theodor - - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
68 GRIEB Oliver 1% 8% 32% 41% 16% 2%
69 PAN Ethan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
70 KRZYWON Dylan 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
71 SHIN Noah - 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
72 ZAIDI Adil 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
73 WONG Jacob W. 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
74 CHUN Zachary 16% 48% 31% 6% - - -
75 CAO Justin - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
76 KOE Beckett - 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
77 JIMENEZ Naveen - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
78 BOURGUIGNAT James 4% 29% 39% 21% 6% 1% -
79 LU Jingyi - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
80 ZAPPALA Nikolai 1% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1% -
81 STRAYER Cody 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
82 HUANG Chenghan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
83 HEYBOER Jason 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
84 MACKAY Ian 4% 28% 47% 19% 2% - -
84 LEE Ethan - 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
84 METZ Mason 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
87 HE Ryan 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
88 XU Joseph 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
89 ZHANG Jason 22% 45% 27% 5% - - -
90 REN Ryan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
91 KNIBBE Nathan 5% 33% 41% 18% 3% -
92 BOWLES Kevin 25% 46% 24% 5% - -
93 BUNDUS Luca 82% 17% 1% - - -
94 TOOMRE Kai 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
95 BLAM Aaron - 4% 25% 48% 20% 3% -
96 TEH Tang-Ngu 7% 31% 43% 17% 2% - -
97 CHA James 54% 38% 7% 1% - - -
98 SHAW Spencer 3% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
99 DHOKTE Neev 2% 16% 40% 32% 9% 1% -
100 ZOU Michael 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
101 SUN Henry 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
101 LIU Robert 9% 63% 24% 3% - -
103 TIAGI George 3% 46% 43% 7% - - -
104 COSSROW Alex 34% 46% 17% 2% - -
105 OEHLER Mac 80% 18% 1% - - - -
106 OLSON Evan 67% 29% 4% - - - -
107 BONTHA Aadit 61% 32% 6% - - -
108 CHANG Xavier 61% 33% 6% - - - -
109 STANSBURY Desmond 32% 47% 19% 2% - - -
109 DIAZ Gabriel 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
111 ALLEN Augustus 51% 40% 8% - - - -
111 CHANG Zane 71% 26% 3% - - - -
113 SEDGLEY Samuel 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
113 NAUGHTON Aidan 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
115 CHUN Alexander 94% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.