The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AKYAMAC Bora - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
2 PAN Henry - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 WANG Winston - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
3 ALONSO Vinicius 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
5 KEE Andrew L. - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
6 ZHAO Adam - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
7 JIANG Bowang - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
8 TANG Albert - 2% 11% 32% 41% 14%
9 YAP Nathan 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
10 HUANG Eythan - 6% 26% 38% 24% 5%
11 MAO Lucas 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
12 PARRISH Evan - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
13 KIM Brian 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
14 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
15 DUSZA Zachery 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
16 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
17 TRUBETSKI David - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
18 LEVY Jacob - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
19 TANG August L. - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
20 KIM Andy 10% 40% 35% 13% 2% -
21 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
22 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
23 CONVERSE Warren D. 10% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
24 SONG Austin 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
25 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
26 SHEPHERD Conner M. - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
27 PITERBARG Maxim - 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
28 MARISI Gabriel 2% 18% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
29 ZAIDI Adil 14% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
30 POLONI Giovanni 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
31 TANG Alexander L. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
32 PRUT Anton 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
33 DUELL Jacob P. - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
34 PECK Quinn 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
35 MUELLER Donn 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
36 MOORHOUSE Emmett 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
37 THAN Duc 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
38 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 33% 43% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.