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Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 JONES Graham H. V V V V V V V V V V 4.8 5 +0.2
2 DOARES Andrew V V V V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
3 FELDMAN Drew V V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
3 LIN Felix V V V V D V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
5 DECK Tyson V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
6 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. D V V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
7 CHEN Jonathan D V V V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
8 GERSTMANN Max T. D V D V V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
9 KLEBS Robert V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
10 JENSBY Jason V V V D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
11 MONTALVO ashur D V D V V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
12 WALKE Devin V V V D D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
13 HALL Noah V V D V D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
14 TSAO Oliver D V V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
15 BIALIK Noah V D D V V V D 1.3 3 +1.7
16 ROSE Colin D D V V D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
17 POSY Daniel V D V V D 3.0 3 -
18 FENG Brendan V V V D D D 2.1 3 +0.9
19 TIAGI George D V D V V D 3.0 3 -
20 ATWOOD Griffin V V V D D D 3.0 3 -
21 MARGULIS Jared V D V D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
22 BENSON Jacob D D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
23 MARKOWITZ Jonathan V D V D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
24 XU Ivan D D D V V D 2.4 2 -0.4
25 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. D V D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
26 SHU Richard V D D D D D 0.5 1 +0.5
27 RINALDI Savio D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
28 CUNLIFFE Sebastian D D D D V D 0.4 1 +0.6
29 MILLS Matthew P. D D D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
30 PARCELL Colby V D D D D V D 1.4 1 -0.4
31 TSAO Alister D D D D V D 0.8 0 -0.8
32 SU Ji D D D D D V D 1.7 0 -1.7
33 TROEH Christopher D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
34 LIEUWMA Nicolas D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
35 ONION Marc D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.