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Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HENRY Cadel - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
2 D'AMELJ Edoardo - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
3 CHANG Ethan - 1% 8% 32% 44% 16%
3 LIAO Sirui - 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
5 JOHNSON Leland - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
6 BROOKS Theo 3% 15% 32% 33% 16% 3%
7 PERRIN Leo - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
8 YI Andrew - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
9 LI Andrew - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
10 LEVY Daniel 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
11 GRABOWSKI Alexander - 1% 10% 42% 41% 6%
12 DETERMAN Sebastian - 7% 28% 43% 20% 2%
13 CHOU Qianhao 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
14 BADMUS Joshua - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
15 PROSPER Nathaniel 6% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
16 LIU Jayden - 4% 22% 43% 26% 4%
17 TAKEBE Ren - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 14%
18 ALLEN Asa 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
19 VALIYEV Aslan 27% 46% 23% 4% - -
20 ZHANG Weihang 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
21 SLAVNOV Anton - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
22 JAVIER Xavier 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
23 PIPKE Garrett 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
24 BERGAN Chase 25% 45% 25% 5% - -
25 PLATT Michael (Trace) 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
26 WANG Ziyao 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
27 DONNELL Cillian 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
28 LEE Aiden 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
29 BADMUS David 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
30 PETACCHI Leonardo 16% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
31 BROOKS Isaac 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
32 URQUILLA Devin 51% 40% 8% 1% - - -
33 ABRAMSON Zander - 1% 12% 38% 39% 9%
34 TOURÉ-DEMARCO Toussaint 21% 44% 29% 6% - -
35 SAFAI Bardia 22% 44% 28% 6% 1% -
35 PISTILLI James 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
37 BONGIORNO Redding 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.