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IFC 2024 Winter Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOBESHKEVYCH Roman - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
2 GERACI Paul A. - 1% 12% 34% 38% 14%
3 SMOTHERMAN Jason N. - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
3 THOMAS Samuel - - - 1% 13% 46% 40%
5 BARFORD Giovanni 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
6 STAUBITZ Marc 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
7 DAZEY Jason T. - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
8 DUNKLIN Cameron - 4% 21% 39% 28% 7%
9 PRIJATEL John R. - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
10 SON Eric - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
11 PAMERLEAU Ian - - - 5% 24% 47% 24%
12 KRAJ Pawel - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
13 LAUER Michael - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
14 EDWARDS Tim - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
15 SWANSON Dave - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
16 REED Dusty (Allen) - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
17 MILLER Brent 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% -
18 SERAFYM Damian - 1% 7% 27% 42% 20% 3%
19 FANG Samuel 1% 24% 41% 26% 8% 1%
20 HE Lingyun Matthew 1% 52% 37% 9% 1% -
21 SOARE Maria Elena 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% -
22 VAN DYK Mark - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
23 LASKA Patryk 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
24 MACNEIL Matthew - 14% 54% 27% 4% -
25 KRAVITZ Sarah 3% 36% 40% 17% 3% -
26 FAUGHT Dalton 2% 16% 41% 31% 9% 1%
27 MILLER Hayden 13% 42% 34% 10% 1% - -
28 WILTSHIRE Kaden 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
29 RIPLEY Ian - 4% 19% 37% 31% 10%
30 CHUTKAY Sai Pratham - 7% 31% 42% 17% 2%
30 MBERIA Alexander 10% 53% 30% 6% - -
32 TARR Robert - < 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 7%
33 ORGAN Jason 8% 31% 40% 18% 3% - -
34 PIERCE Marcia M. 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2% -
35 MACNEIL Sydney 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
36 BRETHAUER Adah 62% 32% 6% - - -
37 DUTTON Kitty 64% 31% 4% - - -
38 WELLS Aenea 74% 23% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.