The Battle of the Bay Div1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIDA Sergey - - - - - 5% 95%
2 FU Leon - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
3 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 SINGHA Orion - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
5 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - 4% 25% 71%
6 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
7 SOULAIRE Tom - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
8 WESTPHAL David R. - - 3% 19% 45% 34%
9 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - - - 3% 25% 71%
10 WRIGHT Christopher - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
11 KIM Benjamin I. - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
12 COHEN Benjamin A. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
13 HEINS Dylan - 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
14 LIU Noah 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
15 NG Biwon 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
16 UVAROV Andrii 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
17 CHOI Zachary 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
18 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. - 1% 9% 34% 42% 14%
19 CHANG Andrew 14% 43% 34% 8% 1% -
20 SARKAR Agniv - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
21 HE Zhiheng - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16% -
22 WONG Preston 10% 38% 39% 11% 1% - -
23 WELDON Benjamin - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
24 ANDERSON Kai 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
25 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
26 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
27 LI Yunji (Rain) 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
28 CAMPBELL-KRUGER Adam W. - 1% 9% 34% 40% 15% -
28 SEO Shawn - 2% 9% 27% 37% 21% 3%
30 WILLIAMS Derek - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
31 GU Aidan 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
32 TANG William - 6% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
33 SIM Ian 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
34 LEE Bryson 5% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1%
35 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
36 LEE Jayden J. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
37 LUONG Allen 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
38 MING Nathan 4% 20% 36% 30% 10% 1%
39 MA Victor - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
40 YU Austin 4% 20% 36% 30% 10% 1%
41 LOMIO Nicholas A. 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
42 BOYCE Samuel H. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
43 SARKAR Anish - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
44 SMITH Justin C. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
45 MANA Arnav 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
46 ALVAREZ Ian T. - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
47 PERKA Michael - - 4% 25% 45% 25% 1%
47 CHAUDHURI Kabir 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
49 ZAYDMAN David M. - 1% 12% 38% 38% 11%
50 DOWNEY Gerard C. - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
51 KNUDSEN Travis 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
52 CLAES Thomas 15% 37% 34% 12% 2% -
52 PERALTA Christian 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
54 KOUTSOUKOS James 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
55 DOWDELL Riley - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
56 LIPP Robert (Bob) J. 6% 32% 43% 17% 3% -
56 MARIANI Lou - 4% 18% 40% 33% 5%
58 SIRBU Dan 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
59 SODHI Jaco 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
59 PIVOVAROV Lucas 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
61 YUEN Nathan 2% 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
62 PRAKASH Hari 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
62 LIU Aaron 56% 37% 7% 1% - - -
64 BUERGISSER Kai 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
65 LIU Benjamin 46% 41% 11% 1% - -
66 SITTER Gregoire 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
67 LI Ethan R. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
68 HSU Joshua 12% 39% 36% 11% 1% - -
69 SLOAN Ryan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
70 LIPTON Michael D. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
71 GUO Woody 37% 44% 17% 2% - - -
72 LAI Alexander 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.