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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUBAN Misha - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
2 MILLER Luke - 6% 25% 37% 25% 6%
3 ANDERSON Derek M. - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
3 HERMES Henry - - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
5 WALLACE George - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
6 HAN Sam - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
7 MONTESI Eric 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
8 BARTLETT Lauren 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
9 CAMPBELL Paul 1% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1%
10 WATSON Raymond - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 17%
11 VERGARA Jace Riley 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
12 KELLOFF Michael 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
13 PAYNE John T. - 4% 21% 37% 29% 9%
14 WEIKEL Joel 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
15 VESSELS Aaron 1% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
16 FEAGIN Patrick 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
17 VERGARA Jaden Reese 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
18 BLUM Oliver - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
19 SOUTHWORTH Connor - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
20 TANG Justin 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
21 KARRIEM Zainuddin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
22 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
23 BREZNY Peter - 5% 33% 40% 18% 4% -
24 VESSELS Susan L. 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
25 KEIM Spencer 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
26 SINGH Jawand - 5% 24% 44% 23% 3%
27 BADLANI Neel - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
28 LUNDEN Espen 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
29 BLAIR Hailey 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
30 SCHICKEL Juliana 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
31 HAYES Zackery 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
32 MOORE Mary 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
33 GOODE Charlize - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
34 DIX Philip-Alexander - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
35 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
36 BARRETT John 76% 22% 2% - - -
37 BALDA Quinlan 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
38 MCKNIGHT Andrew 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
39 BARRIOS SOSA Maria 3% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
40 PRESBY Alison 14% 42% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.