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The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 3:30 PM

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LYON Drew - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
2 MAHER Jason - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
3 STAM August M. - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
3 JACKSON Evan - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
5 LAUDO Joseph - - - 6% 40% 47% 7%
6 ODBADRAKH Batu - - - - 5% 30% 65%
7 ELIAN David - 1% 9% 33% 39% 16% 2%
8 SEMP Brannon A. - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
9 PHAM Matthew 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
10 FEIRA Justin - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
11 ROCHARDSON Payten - 1% 7% 26% 41% 23% 3%
12 HUANG Zhilin - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
13 STEWART Brian - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
14 BAIN Tiernan 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
15 URIBE David 2% 23% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
16 SORRELL Allison - 4% 24% 49% 21% 3% -
17 OHASHI Jax 9% 39% 37% 13% 2% -
18 MELNIKOV Daniel 2% 24% 49% 22% 3% - -
19 WALKER Joseph 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
20 FRECK Erin 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
21 LEE Angela 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
22 LESTYAN Cat 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -
23 PRICE Jesse 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
24 BURGOA David 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 1%
25 FOLK William 15% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
26 THARRINGTON Samuel 3% 31% 42% 20% 4% - -
27 BARR Corinne 37% 49% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.