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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Junior Olympics

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, February 18, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
5 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
6 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
7 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
8 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
9 YE Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
10 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
11 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
12 REN James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
13 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
14 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
15 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
16 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
17 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
18 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
18 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
20 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
21 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
22 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
23 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
24 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
25 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
26 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
27 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
28 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
29 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
30 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
31 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
32 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 4%
33 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
34 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
35 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
36 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
36 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
38 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
39 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
40 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
41 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
42 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
43 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69%
43 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
45 STURGEON Cole 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
46 FOX Gavin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
47 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
48 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
49 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
50 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
51 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 7%
52 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
52 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
54 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
55 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
56 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
57 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 1%
58 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
59 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
60 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19% 2%
61 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
62 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 5%
62 JENSBY Jason 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
64 WONG Lucas 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
65 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
66 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
67 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
68 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
69 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 4%
69 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
69 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
72 HO Jacob 100% 100% 91% 65% 28% 6% 1%
73 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
74 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
75 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
76 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
77 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
78 TIAGI George 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
79 CHON Collin 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
80 YE Ivan 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
81 MATTOO Surya 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 12%
81 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
83 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
84 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 9%
85 SOWERS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
86 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
86 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
88 HERRERA aragon 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
89 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
89 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
91 AKS Ari 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
92 HAO Anwen 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
93 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
94 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
94 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
94 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
97 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
98 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
99 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
100 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
101 VENU Ram 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
102 UEMOTO Ken 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5% -
103 COOK Cole 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
104 MATTOO Deven 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5% -
105 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
106 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
107 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
108 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1%
109 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1%
110 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
111 ZHENG LEON 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
112 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
113 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
114 COBIAN Richard 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
115 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
116 GUREVICH Savely 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
117 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
118 WANG Michael 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
119 WAGNER Elijah 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
120 WAXLER Ryan 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
120 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 27% 5%
120 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
123 SAMMI Mukul 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5% -
124 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
125 FRUTH Evan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
126 WANG William 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
127 SIMMONS John M. 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1% -
127 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 2%
129 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
130 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
131 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
132 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
133 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
134 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
135 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
136 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27% 3%
137 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
138 ALAVE Kyle 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
139 MCDONALD Finn 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
140 ZHOU James Y. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% -
141 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
142 WEINBERG Harry 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
143 KESSLER Nathan 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 4% -
143 MONTALVO Emmeric 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
145 HERR Gabriele 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
146 FANG Eason 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
147 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
148 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
149 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
150 LIN Felix 100% 99% 84% 49% 15% 2%
151 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
152 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
153 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
154 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
155 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
156 SUBA Lucas 100% 96% 58% 17% 2%
157 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
158 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 7% 1%
159 BYON Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
160 SILVA Joaquin 100% 97% 59% 17% 2% - -
161 LIN Lucas 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
162 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
163 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
164 KANG Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
164 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
166 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
167 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
167 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
169 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
169 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
169 JONES Elijah 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
172 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
173 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
174 WEI William 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
175 SWIFT Owen 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
176 PERRY Gwydion 100% 83% 39% 8% 1% - -
177 BENSON Jacob 100% 97% 67% 24% 4% - -
177 CHUA Jared 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
179 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 91% 58% 20% 4% - -
180 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 89% 52% 13%
181 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
182 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4% -
183 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
184 BUCK Maximilian 100% 90% 46% 12% 1% - -
185 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
186 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
187 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
188 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
189 SASSI Ilyas 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1%
190 LIU Victor 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
191 CHAN Henry 100% 99% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
192 OH Aster 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
193 LIU Aaron 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% - -
193 BOLLU Viren 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
195 XU Ivan 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
195 JIANG Terence 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
195 CRAIN Bennett 100% 95% 60% 18% 3% - -
198 ZHOU William 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1% -
199 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
200 YU Casey 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
201 LI Seth 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
201 YU Kevin 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 4% -
203 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
203 WANG HongXi 100% 99% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
205 HO Anson 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
205 GONG Gavin 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% - -
205 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
208 LIU ERIC 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
208 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
210 REHM Liam 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
210 MENDOZA Christian 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
212 RIVERA Rakesh 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
213 CLARK Gabriel 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
213 BREUER Daniel 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
213 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 11% 1%
216 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
217 ROSS Dash S. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
218 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 90% 53% 14% 2% - -
219 TUNG Ryan 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
220 AUTREY Adrien 100% 99% 81% 42% 12% 1% -
220 FAYETTE Julien 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
222 KIM Theodore 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
223 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% -
224 WANG Max 100% 99% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
225 MARGULIS Jared 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
225 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
227 WONG Caleb W. 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
227 HORNE Jamison 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
229 TSAO Alister 100% 99% 76% 31% 6% - -
230 YADAV Lakshya 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
231 MEADE Liam R. 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
232 HE Bowen 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
233 LEE Anderson 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
234 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
235 GUAN Dennis 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
236 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
237 HALL Noah 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 4% -
238 LEIGH Edward 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
239 DOLEV Ido 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
240 GILMARTIN Colin 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
241 CARATTINI Chase A. 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% - -
242 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
243 SUN Ziyao 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
243 TAN Ryan 100% 73% 31% 6% 1% - -
245 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
246 GOGNA Rehan 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
247 SADHU Neiyam 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
247 THOMAS Texas 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
249 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
249 ALLEN-BRUNS Ryder 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
251 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 32% 4% - - - -
252 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
252 NGUYEN Dylan Kwon 100% 69% 26% 4% - - -
254 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
254 MUNJULURI ruhaan 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
254 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 55% 10% 1% - - -
257 VEDRE Neil 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
257 DEELY Hartigan 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
259 HONG Aidan 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
260 TURECK Nathan 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
261 BECHTEL Trent 100% 92% 50% 14% 2% - -
261 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 69% 24% 3% - - -
263 PARKILA Lukas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
264 LIGH Checed 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
264 VO Landon 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% - -
264 RAMANI Ari 100% 20% 2% - - - -
267 MANESCU Miron 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% - -
267 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
269 SEETHAMRAJU Pranay 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
270 SEELMAN Cole 100% 24% 2% - - - -
270 JHAVERI Rajan 100% 37% 6% - - - -
272 PARCELL Colby 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
273 LIEU Nicholas 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
274 PORTER Dupree 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
275 NARUT Oscar 100% 22% 2% - -
276 SLEP Solomon 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
277 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
277 BARROWS Hunter 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
279 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
280 BURKE Sam 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
281 POWER Alex 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
282 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
283 KOMERAVELLI Rushil 100% 32% 4% - - - -
283 RAVOOR Sahas 100% 18% 1% - - - -
285 FENG Brendan 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
286 TSATSAS Andreas 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
286 GINGERY Julian 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
286 CAUTHRON Oliver 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
289 JURKECH Jacob 100% 33% 5% - - -
290 LEE Thomas 100% 27% 3% - - - -
290 PARK Gavin 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
290 WASCO Andrew 100% 56% 14% 1% - - -
293 FREILICH Harrison 100% 28% 3% - - - -
294 HONG Arick 100% 34% 4% - - - -
295 HOSAD Shubh 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
295 WILLIAMS Eric 100% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.