Cardinal Fencing Academy - Sterling, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LAM Alan | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 2 | RACHTCHININE Alexandre | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | WHEELER Daniel | V V D V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | CARTER Austin L. | V D V V D | V V V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 5 | LOBANENKOV Ilya V. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 6 | TABLEMAN Doug S. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 7 | CHRISTY Peter C. | V D V D V | V V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 8 | PALAMARCHUK Andriy | V D V D V | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 9 | TIKHONOV Daniel | V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 10 | HUGHES Michael D. | V V V V D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 10 | WANG Aiden | V V V D V | V D | 1.5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 12 | TIKHONOV Iliya | D V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 13 | MAROCHNIK Daniel | D V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 14 | LAM Bill | V V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | SZIEDE Kieran | D V D V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 16 | LIN Haley | D D V D D | V V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 17 | EVANS Grant | V V V V D | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 18 | YU Jason | D V V V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 19 | BANNEN Nicholas | V D D V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 19 | SINGH Aryaman | V V V D D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 21 | WATERS Nathaniel | D D V V V | D | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 22 | MORAN Joseph | V D V D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 23 | YI Nathan | V D D D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 24 | SO Lorenzo | D V V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 25 | ALBERTSON Tory | V V D D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 26 | WU Shaochi | V D D V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 27 | WHEELER Andreas | D D V D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 28 | EVANS George | D V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 29 | SUNKARA Vishnu | D D V D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 30 | ARMSTRONG TyLee | D D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 31 | JONES Kyle | D D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 32 | MALACHOW Shane T. | D D D D D | V D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 33 | KARASICK Andrew | D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 33 | D'ANGELO Olivia | D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 35 | THOMAS Charlie | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 36 | BOCK Christopher | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.