2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Jayden - - - - 5% 31% 63%
2 KIM Henry - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
3 DODIN Daniel M. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
3 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
5 WANG-SONG Evan - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
6 NOOL Alexander - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
7 SINGLETON Aman - - - 3% 14% 39% 43%
8 LUO Alexander - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
9 CAFASSO Alexander - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
10 TSIEN Richard 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
11 GIORDANO Zach 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
12 NG Nico 1% 7% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
13 SONG Aidan - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
14 WANG Marcus 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
15 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
16 YU David 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
17 WITHERELL Logan 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
18 SHAPIRO Samuel - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
19 CHEN Tianjun 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
20 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
21 FOGEL Jake 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
22 NOOL Aaron 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
23 BHANDARE Veer 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
23 CHEN Evan 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
25 TOPRANI Valmik - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
26 CHEN Daniel - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
27 FRIZZELL Kai - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 1%
28 PUTHOFF Henry - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 1%
29 DANILOV Artur - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
30 CHEN Cameron 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
31 ZINCHUK Yuri 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
32 WILLIAMS Gavin 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
33 MASKIN Mikhail - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
34 CHO Adrian 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
35 CHEN Jayden A 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
36 WHITE Jackson 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
37 CAVALLARO Sebastian 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
38 YOON Jonathan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
39 DAI Jason 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
40 ZHANG Jayden 17% 45% 29% 8% 1% - -
41 LAI Jayden 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
41 HONG Ethen 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 6% 1%
43 DINIC Pavle 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
43 BRESLAV Asher 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
45 CHIANG William 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
46 LEE Leo - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
47 WU Matthew - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
48 LEE Ryan 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
49 ROFINO Samuel 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
50 LANDMAN Martin 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1% -
51 DAVIS Zane 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
52 KHAHAM Samuel 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 3% -
53 WHITE Leonardo 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
53 KIM Louie < 1% 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
55 SMITH Theo 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
55 SHI Evan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.