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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Veronika - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
2 GONG Joy - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 WANG JiaQi - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 KWON Ava - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
5 CASTELO Soleil - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
5 FUNG Iris - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
7 XU Elaine 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
8 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
9 ZHAO Selena 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
10 FOSS Persephone - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
11 MEYERSON Michelle - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
12 NIU Jessica - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
13 GOEL Lineysha 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
14 CHOI Charlotte - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
15 PARK Haylie - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
16 HUANG Pierra 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
17 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
17 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
19 NANDA Maanika - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
20 LEE Grace - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
21 YOUNG Sienna 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
22 MAK Jayden - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
23 WEI Madison - 1% 5% 23% 38% 27% 6%
24 GOLEN Grace 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% 1%
25 LIANG Claire - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
26 NEMORIN Rei - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
27 KIM Grace 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
28 ZONG Eliane 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
29 REN Katherine - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
29 ZHANG Audrey 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
31 ZHENG Winona - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
32 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
33 HILD Anya - 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
34 BANDHU Saahiti - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
35 LEE Kaitlin 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
36 HARRIS Maya Hué 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
37 MAGITSKY Giadora 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
38 GALLAGHER Isabella 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% 1%
39 MOFFITT Charlotte 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
40 WANG Keira 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
41 JOHN Sophia 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
42 MUNSHI Ridhima - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
43 PEREIRA Izumi 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
44 GU Allison 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
45 CHU Anna 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
46 MOTOVA Masha 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
47 NEGROIU Mara 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
48 SAGER Bianca 11% 35% 36% 14% 3% - -
49 FONG Zoe 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
50 CHEN Chloe 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
51 DANIELS Jordanna 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
52 STOLCKE Saskia 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
53 YAP Anna 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
54 DIBADJ Ava 62% 32% 6% - - -
55 WU Harper 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
56 ZHANG Nikki - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
57 BAO Amelia 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
58 LEE Elise 3% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
59 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
60 PASSMAN Caroline 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
61 PATEL Maia 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
62 KWAN Kelly 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
63 KARAVAS Lucy 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
64 JUN Sofia 24% 45% 26% 5% - - -
65 PARAISO Isabella 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.