NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, March 10, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONDOR Robert D. - - - 1% 28% 70%
2 MELCHER Jack H. - - 2% 21% 49% 28%
3 GAO Daniel - - - 7% 38% 54%
3 DOYON - VERDON William - - - 2% 18% 46% 33%
5 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - - 6% 28% 49% 17%
6 SONG Troy - 4% 21% 42% 28% 5%
7 ZEBROSE Cordell B. - - - 3% 25% 48% 24%
8 BELLIVEAU Raven C. - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
9 DOELEMAN Zeno - - - 4% 28% 68%
10 PRIHODKO Max - - 1% 13% 65% 21%
11 ZHAO Corey - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
12 SPRINGER Michael - 1% 9% 37% 40% 13%
13 BUSH Thomas - 1% 7% 32% 43% 17%
14 ROLLO Emmett H. - - 2% 14% 43% 34% 8%
15 RICHARD Owen - 1% 14% 43% 34% 8%
16 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. - 5% 27% 46% 19% 3% -
17 WU Jonathan - - 2% 16% 46% 31% 5%
18 KAO Castor T. - - - 4% 20% 46% 29%
19 SMITH Troy H. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
20 WANG Justin - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
21 BEALS Alden - 1% 11% 36% 44% 8%
22 SHA Michael - 2% 15% 36% 35% 12%
22 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 3% 22% 48% 24% 3%
24 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - - 3% 21% 46% 30%
25 GREGORY Abram - - 5% 29% 49% 16%
26 GOON Tristan Yang 4% 20% 38% 30% 8% -
27 JIANG Ryan - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
28 RUSSELL Edward 2% 24% 51% 20% 3% -
29 ARMSTRONG Christopher S. - - 3% 22% 46% 28%
30 BAJAJ Nakul 7% 35% 39% 16% 3% -
31 FEINBERG James Y. 12% 38% 37% 12% 1% -
32 CHEN Allen 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
33 YIN Chujun 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
34 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 7% 29% 39% 21% 3% - -
35 ZHANG Dinghao 1% 11% 36% 39% 12% 1%
36 KELLEY Hayden 11% 45% 36% 8% 1% -
37 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 2% 25% 43% 25% 4% -
38 BELLIVEAU Shane 1% 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%
39 WANG Xiangdong 2% 17% 42% 36% 3% -
40 WU Chi Kuan 19% 43% 31% 7% - -
41 SONG Changze 5% 28% 42% 21% 3% -
42 MAZZOLI Julio C. - - < 1% 5% 26% 45% 24%
43 BAZZANA Beniamino 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
44 KIM Nathan 19% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
45 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 8% 41% 39% 10% 1% -
46 ZHANG Roland 5% 29% 42% 20% 4% -
47 PAGE Duncan 6% 34% 44% 15% 2% -
48 EGHIAN Armen 4% 31% 43% 19% 3% -
49 WHITE Aidan 53% 38% 9% 1% - -
50 FENG Shang 5% 31% 45% 17% 2% -
51 LI Ray 60% 34% 6% - - -
52 LIN Yufei 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
53 PESSIN Nadav 69% 28% 3% - - -
54 SEILS Aether 70% 26% 3% - - -
55 BRUEGGEMANN Max 9% 32% 38% 18% 2% - -
56 LIU Jeremiah W. 11% 52% 31% 5% - -
57 THOMPSON Ian 7% 34% 42% 15% 2% - -
58 PAN Anthony 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% - -
59 KOURE Andrew C. 55% 37% 8% 1% - -
59 ZHANG Wei 20% 44% 30% 6% - -
61 KAIN Brad 12% 42% 34% 11% 2% -
62 BENNETT Nathaniel 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.