2023-24 SoCal Division Summer National Qualifiers

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 2:45 PM

Colina Middle School - Thousand Oaks, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 FLANAGAN Miles - 4% 14% 28% 31% 18% 5% < 1%
2 CHANG Nathan - 1% 6% 18% 29% 28% 14% 3%
3 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison - - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
3 TSOI Spencer - 2% 8% 22% 32% 25% 9% 1%
5 CHEN Brian - 2% 8% 21% 30% 26% 11% 2%
6 YORK Lucas 1% 6% 17% 29% 28% 15% 4% 1%
7 SIDDIQI Amman 2% 9% 23% 30% 23% 10% 2% -
8 WHARTON David - - 1% 7% 19% 32% 29% 11%
9 MCCARVILL Cooper 1% 5% 18% 30% 28% 14% 3% -
10 MONTGOMERY Georgie 3% 14% 28% 30% 18% 6% 1% -
11 SMITH Jeremiah 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1% -
12 TURNER Finian 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% 1% -
13 CHARETTE Matthew 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 3% -
14 AGUILAR Keops 3% 13% 27% 30% 19% 7% 1% -
15 ORNELAS Polo 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% - -
16 KAPLAN Richie 4% 17% 30% 28% 15% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.