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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

March SJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Walter E Washington Convention Center - Washington D.C, DC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
3 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
5 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
6 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
7 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
8 VAID Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
9 REN James 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
10 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
11 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
12 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
13 ZHAO Lucas 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
14 CHON Collin 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
15 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
16 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
17 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
18 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 13%
19 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
19 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
21 MATTOO Surya 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
21 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
23 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
23 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
25 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
26 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
27 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
28 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
29 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
30 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 2%
31 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
32 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
33 YAN William 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
34 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
35 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 76% 32% 5%
36 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
37 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
38 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
39 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
39 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
41 MATTOO Deven 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
42 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
43 LEE Noah 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 5%
44 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 27%
45 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
46 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
47 BYON Julian 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
48 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
49 LIN Steve 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
50 KIM Theodore 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
51 VAUGHN Jason 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
52 TIAGI George 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
53 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
54 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 19%
55 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
56 GONG zihao 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
57 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
58 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
59 KITSON Chase 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
60 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 90% 49% 12% 1%
61 PAN Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
62 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
63 KOGAN Nikita 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
64 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 73% 27% 4% - -
65 WANG Will 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
66 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
67 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
68 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
69 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
70 CHAN Henry 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% -
71 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
72 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
73 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
74 DOWNEY Baran 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
75 SUN Andrew 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
76 HUNG Samuel 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
77 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
78 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 7%
79 ANDRES Michael 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 2%
80 WANG William 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
81 LIN Felix 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
82 GUREVICH Savely 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
83 WANG Max 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
83 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
83 WANG Jerry 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
86 PORTER Dupree 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
87 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
88 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
89 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
90 WANG HongXi 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
91 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
92 OH Aster 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
93 ZHENG LEON 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
94 MOYD Aaron 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
95 ZHEXUAN yu 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
96 MANESCU Miron 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
96 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
98 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 75% 29% 6% 1% - -
99 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
100 ZHOU William 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
101 LIN Philip T. 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
102 CRAIN Bennett 100% 79% 33% 6% - -
103 BOLLU Viren 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
104 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
104 SUBA Lucas 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
106 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 4%
107 ZHOU Grant 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
108 LAUB William 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
108 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
110 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
111 RYAN Kai 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
112 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
112 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% - -
114 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
115 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
116 FANG Eason 100% 89% 51% 12% 1% -
117 CHAN Elliott 100% 57% 9% - - -
118 LIU ERIC 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
119 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 98% 78% 37% 9% 1%
120 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 13% 1%
121 HUROWITZ Max 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
122 BIVIJI Ali 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
123 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
124 JONES Elijah 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
125 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
126 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
127 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
128 REHM Liam 100% 79% 31% 6% - -
129 LI Ayden 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
130 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
131 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
132 ZHOU GUANLIN 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
133 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
134 MCDONALD Finn 100% 78% 38% 11% 1% -
135 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
136 KESSLER Nathan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
137 KESSLER Josh 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
137 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
139 SIMMONS John M. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
139 GONG Gavin 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
141 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
142 VEDRE Neil 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
143 XU Ivan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
144 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
145 PARCELL Colby 100% 70% 26% 5% 1% - -
146 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
147 HE Bowen 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
148 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
148 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
150 BAHK Caleb 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
151 HU Harry 100% 36% 5% - - -
152 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
153 JANUS Maksymilian 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
154 ANTICO Lorenzo Sebastian 100% 63% 13% 1% - -
155 XU Justin 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.