The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, March 22, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn - 1% 10% 31% 40% 19%
2 SCHMIDT Isabel - - - - 3% 23% 73%
3 TONG Laurie 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
3 SUNG Olivia - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
5 KANG Ellie - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
6 HWANG Charlotte 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
7 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
8 LIU Hannah - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
9 GAY Sasha - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
10 SHEARER Alena - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
11 LEI Zitong (Meya) - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
12 KIM Satie - 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
13 HAN Emma - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
14 MARTINEZ MARIA - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
15 MAO anna 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
16 KWON Hannah 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3%
17 CONG Anne - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
18 LIN Elaine - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 33%
19 CHAN Jolene - - - 4% 31% 65%
20 WANG Jiayi - 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
21 LONG Chloe 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
22 ASPIRAS Avery 36% 42% 18% 4% < 1% - -
23 LAUREYNS Ainsley 2% 15% 44% 32% 7% -
24 ZHAO Abbie 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
25 KINKADE Ellie - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
26 KIM Saeren 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
27 LIU kai yin aria 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
28 MISHEV Lila - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
29 BORTAI Eliza 3% 22% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
30 PANCHAL Arya 63% 31% 6% - - -
31 YU Skylar 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
32 CAO arissa 31% 45% 20% 4% - -
33 KU Alathea-Joy - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
33 YUEN Nicole - - 6% 31% 50% 12%
35 OCA Merci 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
36 YAN Angela - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
37 ZHU Elaine - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
38 WONG Natalie 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
39 YU Stella 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
40 WONG Cerise - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
41 SUNG Isabella - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
42 LONG Jessie 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
42 NGUYEN Summer 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
44 SENGUPTA Jia - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
45 HU Ashley 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
46 NING Lynn 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 2%
47 KIM Yeju - 7% 32% 44% 15% 1%
48 HSIEH Lucia 3% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
49 MORINAGA Mirai 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
50 JUNG Sienna 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
51 PARK Chloe 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
52 CHANG Kaitlyn 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% -
53 CHEN Colette - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
54 LEE Madeleine 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
55 DANG Madeleine 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
56 PATIL Jyothi 42% 44% 13% 1% - -
57 MAO Elsa 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
58 KIRBY Skye 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
59 STAPLEY Claire 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
60 HENRY Erin 25% 51% 21% 3% - -
61 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 26% 47% 22% 4% - -
62 ZHANG angelina 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
63 DUFF Caitlin 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
64 MEI Chloe 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.