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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUEN Caleb - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
2 CHOI LIAM - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
3 LEE Jayden - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 5%
3 TABANCAY Cole - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
5 CHANG Joshua - 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
6 曾 ZIMO - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
7 CHEN Aaron - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 28%
8 FAN Yuchen - 4% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
9 FU BRANDEN - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
10 YUAN Alan - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
11 YE Aaron - 3% 19% 39% 30% 8%
12 LAI Mars - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
12 WANG Henrik - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
14 DESAI Arthav - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
15 CHEN Brian - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
16 DUFF Michael 7% 28% 36% 21% 7% 1% -
17 KIM Junseong - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
18 PARK Jayden 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
19 DING Orlando - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
20 SU Eric - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
21 YANG Aegon 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
22 WANG James - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
23 LVOVSKIY Roman - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
24 WANG Darren 6% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
25 HEILMANN Christian - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
25 LEE Kyle 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
27 HE Richard - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
28 KIM Eric - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
29 EKAMBARAM Rithik - 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
30 FAN Yuen - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
31 HSIEH Maxwell 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
32 MALLARD Arthur 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
33 WONG Alexander - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
34 HEILMANN Caleb - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
35 LUO Gavin 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
36 LEI Isaac 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
37 DUBIN Jake 11% 38% 37% 12% 2% - -
38 LI Jason - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
39 DENG Aurik 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
40 JI Derek 3% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
41 QIAO Jason - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
42 CHUNG Evan - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
43 LOVELL Jackson 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
44 LI Linus 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
45 PEARL Gavin 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
46 IRVINE Cooper 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
47 JASPERSON Nolan 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
48 CAO Andrew 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
49 BOURCIER Rowan 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
50 TRIMBLE Jonathan - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
51 SUN Alan 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
52 WU Allen 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
53 CHOI Theo 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
54 NGUYEN Ellis 9% 33% 38% 17% 4% - -
55 WADHERA Vivaan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
56 CHEN Donovan 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
57 KIM Connor 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
57 ZHANG Hanzhi 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
59 LEE Caleb 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
60 YAN Kaysen 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
61 HU Xiaoxin (Michael) 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.