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Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOKENGE Reid - - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20%
2 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 2% 9% 28% 39% 22%
3 MACARTY Jordan T. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 WANG zhixing (Daniel) - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
5 LAI Aedin - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
6 GALLANT Antoine - - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
7 SVERDLOV Seth - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 12%
8 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
9 RICHARD Owen - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
10 CHAI Jonathan - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
11 KUGLER Luke - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
12 DONG Haiyi 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
13 CHAI Ethan - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
14 LAI Boden - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
15 ZHANG Caden - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
16 CAUCHY Eliot - 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
17 KOYFMAN Benjamin - - 5% 22% 41% 28% 5%
18 ZHAI Avalo - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
19 WU Jonathan - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
20 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
21 STRAUSS Luke - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
22 SUN Jason - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 5%
23 JIANG ryan - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
24 SERAFIN Ben - 1% 9% 32% 44% 13%
24 DOYON - VERDON William - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
26 RATUSHNYI Georgii 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1%
27 HU Lucas - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
28 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
29 HE Lawrence - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
30 SHA Michael - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
31 NESTERCZUK Maddox W. 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
32 REPIC Oliver 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
33 TRULL A.J. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
34 BRODSKY Julian - - 3% 16% 38% 35% 8%
35 SONG Troy - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
36 ROLLO Emmett H. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
37 DURKIN Tristan E. 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
38 BANKULLA Nihal R. - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
39 ARAVIND Athreya - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
40 XU Che 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
41 CHEN Jun Ho - 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1%
42 NORMILE Nicholas 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
43 KRISHNAN Skanda - 4% 15% 29% 31% 17% 4%
44 DUKO Phillip 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
45 TSE Maxwell - 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
46 ZHAO Zidong - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 6%
47 SIYANKO Joshua - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
48 LEE JoonWon - - 2% 13% 43% 35% 8%
49 WU Marcus - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
50 PARK Nicholas - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
51 PAN Tristan 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
52 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
53 LACROIX Floryan - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
54 DURKIN Brian 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
55 LEIBOWITZ Ryan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
56 HU Anton 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
57 LEE Aiden 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
58 FUSSMAN Yuval 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
59 AGGELER Donovan 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
60 WANG Xiangdong 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
61 SUN Jeffrey 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
62 WELIWATTA kenula 26% 51% 20% 3% - - -
63 PENG Yue 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
64 BEALS Alden - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
65 PARK Frederick - - - 6% 32% 45% 16%
66 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
67 SAVORETTI Francesco - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
68 LIN Nathan 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
69 LIU Adam - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
70 ZHAO Corey - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
71 SOKOL Luke 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
72 KARIMOV Amir 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
73 LEE Samuel Y. - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
74 LI Zachary - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
75 JIANG Matthew 3% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1%
76 LIN Kason - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
77 YIN Chujun 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
78 ZHAO Jonathan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
79 XIAN Andy 3% 20% 45% 26% 6% - -
80 ZHANG Ethan - - 3% 15% 38% 35% 9%
81 SHOUSHA Yassin 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
82 ZENG Andrew 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
82 WU Colin 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
82 MA Wilson 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
85 CHEN Luowen 4% 23% 41% 27% 5% - -
86 FANG Hanning - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
87 XIE Brandon - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
87 DEITZ Ethan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
89 SUN Lucas 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
90 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
91 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
92 LEE DoWon 1% 7% 26% 39% 21% 5% -
93 WU Chi Kuan 4% 21% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
94 WILLIAMS Logan 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1%
95 TATE William Isom 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
96 HE Lingyun Matthew 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
97 NALLICHERI Ayaan 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
98 RIVERA Louis 6% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
98 AHMED Mohsen 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
100 LENNON Nicholas 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
100 BHARGAVA Vivaan 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
102 YU Samuel 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
103 SINGH RANGER vir 9% 38% 35% 15% 3% - -
104 ZHONG Lee 15% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
105 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
106 DOWD Peter L. 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
106 HU Robert J. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
108 ZHANG Lucas 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
109 GOON Tristan Yang 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
109 MEN Junda - 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
109 HIGGINS Jett 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
112 DORASZELSKI Mark - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
113 CHEN Jayden 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
114 SAVORETTI Pietro 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
115 HIGGASON Hugh 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
115 GOODWIN Graham 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
117 ZHAO Pierce 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
117 RIM Eugene 6% 24% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
119 SO Lorenzo 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
120 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
121 SETO Jing 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
122 OKUN Benjamin 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
123 WONG Maximus 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
124 ROBICHAUD Michael 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
125 ZHANG Roland 3% 21% 41% 28% 6% - -
126 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 8% 33% 40% 17% 2% - -
126 ZANELLI Ben 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
128 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 46% 41% 12% 1% - - -
129 ANAFI Ari 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
130 LEE Wyatt 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
131 NILSEN Mark 38% 43% 16% 3% - -
132 MANITT Philip 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
133 LIN Zizhen 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
134 WONG King-Yee 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
135 LEBLANC Samuel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
136 PRESSLEY David - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
137 YI Nathan 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
138 AGUIRRE Diego 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
138 ALAM Rajan 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
140 DAN Rex 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
141 RVACHEV Michael 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
142 SHIRKHEDKAR Tanuj 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
143 HOWELL Liam 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
144 CHALLAGULLA Manu 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
145 HENNESSY Levon 50% 43% 7% - - - -
145 SUDOL Szymon 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
147 MASSE Jack 33% 44% 20% 4% - -
148 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 7% 31% 40% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.