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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, March 30, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCKEE Brynnley - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
2 PAUL Lila - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 SCOTT Eve 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
3 NATH Trisha - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
5 LUKER Sophia - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
5 ZENG Sarah - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
7 SPEARS Mya B 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
8 DAI Olivia - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
9 HU Anna - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
10 HASSAN Aziza R. - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
11 KHAN Alissa - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
12 MANKOVA Varvara - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
13 HUANG Doris - 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
14 MANSPERGER Leena - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
15 COLTER Aurora - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
16 ATTIA Jasmine - 3% 14% 32% 34% 14% 2%
17 VINOKUR Anita 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
18 WANG Elysia - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
19 LIU Yifei 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
20 LIU Kelly 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
21 GENTILE Vittoria 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
22 ZHENG Valentina 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
23 CHAVAN Arya 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
24 JEONG Katie - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
25 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
26 FAN Grace - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
27 MCGRAW Sadie 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
28 HORVITZ Jacqueline 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
29 DAMBAL Sasha 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
30 JOHNSTON Lily - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
31 LOO Kaitlyn - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
32 NAYAK Esha 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
33 BARROSO Isabela 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
34 BUSH Bethany 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
35 BROWN Aria 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
36 NEUMAN Ella 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
37 KIM Audrey 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
38 CHI Claire 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
39 ONG Lauren 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
40 NAYAK Antara 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
41 MYAT Chloe 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
42 CROOKS Riley 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
43 ZHANG Sophie 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
44 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
45 KANDADAI Lara 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
46 TENG EMMA 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
47 PROBASCO Leila 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
48 TU Sadie 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
49 MCSWEENEY Kylie 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
50 MACKAY Katherine 5% 40% 38% 14% 3% - -
51 BIRNSTILL Reese 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
52 KHOST Maeve 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
53 DEMING Clare L. < 1% - 2% 13% 34% 39% 11%
54 GETZONI Mary 81% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.