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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Premier Challenge ROC(D1A, DV2, VET), RJCC & PARA

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lavender - - - - 9% 40% 50%
2 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - - - 2% 23% 74%
3 BREKER Anika - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
3 CALISE Ella - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
5 ORVANANOS Anice - 2% 12% 35% 41% 9%
6 CHO Rebecca H. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
7 SEMEL Liana M. - - - 6% 33% 61%
8 SHEN Emilia - 1% 6% 25% 45% 24%
9 TAN Kaitlyn N. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
10 ZHENG Julie 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
11 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
12 LI Eleanor - - 5% 23% 42% 26% 4%
13 RENTON Samantha - - - 5% 31% 47% 16%
14 LI Shuang - - 2% 15% 41% 37% 5%
15 DE LA CRUZ Eden - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
16 CASCONE Emily - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
17 CHO Emily (Euran) - - 4% 21% 45% 29%
18 ASCHETTINO Aurora - - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9%
19 CHEN Renee - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
20 LI Rachel Y. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
21 WHELAN Amelia 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
22 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - - 2% 15% 46% 32% 6%
23 MCSHERRY Ava - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
24 HAO Danica - 2% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1%
25 WEI Angela - 5% 28% 47% 18% 2% -
26 SHMAY Anastasia - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
27 WANG Yudi 2% 22% 42% 27% 6% - -
28 DONG Angela 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
29 ZHAO Aileen Y. 1% 14% 38% 33% 11% 1%
30 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
31 LEVY Avery 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
32 FENG Audrey 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
33 ZHANG Selena 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
34 SEIDL Cassidy M. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
35 SHA Yi Ling - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
35 MEI Sarah - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 12%
37 KAPRAN Anastasia 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
38 WU Renee - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
39 YU Jane 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2% -
40 LIU Eva 4% 31% 42% 20% 3% - -
41 SHENG Chuxi - - 4% 22% 44% 26% 3%
42 CHENG Isa 3% 22% 47% 24% 3% - -
43 WANG Annie 15% 46% 30% 8% 1% - -
44 MARKOVSKY Nina 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
45 SHIM Grace J. 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
46 MING YUE 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
47 MEYER Claudia 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
48 ZELDIN Nadia 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
49 GREEN Marisa 1% 10% 40% 36% 12% 2% -
50 LAO Sophia 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
51 LI Han (Helina) 14% 44% 32% 9% 1% -
52 WANG Chloe 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
52 YANG Emma 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
54 SONG Jenna 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
54 BABIAC Julia 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
56 GE Yu Ming - 6% 23% 39% 27% 6%
57 SAKALLA Serene 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
58 FONG Ellis 25% 49% 22% 3% - - -
59 SHAH Suhani 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
60 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 24% 55% 19% 2% - - -
61 FANG Adela 56% 38% 5% - - - -
62 LIU Long 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
63 TURNER Stephanie E. 3% 19% 37% 31% 9% 1%
64 MCDERMOTT Catherine 42% 45% 12% 1% - - -
65 CHAKRAPANI Ila 68% 28% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.