The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Challenge by the Bay RYC/RCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 1:00 PM

University of California - Davis - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Joy - - - - 7% 34% 59%
2 LUO Miranda - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
3 CHAN Mila - - 1% 16% 46% 37%
3 LIU Ariana - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
5 PENG Charlotte - - - - 2% 23% 75%
6 THERON Zoe - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
7 NEUMANN Erika - - 3% 17% 41% 32% 7%
8 WU Chingfei Amber - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
9 LEE Zoe - - 1% 6% 28% 45% 21%
10 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
11 HSIAO Ariya - 1% 6% 25% 41% 24% 2%
12 HOM Avery - - 3% 16% 40% 35% 7%
13 ZHOU Joi - - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
14 KIM Erin - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
15 CHAN Ella 1% 8% 29% 41% 18% 3%
16 DING Madison - 7% 25% 38% 24% 6%
17 MATTUPALLI Ashwika - 1% 14% 44% 33% 7%
18 ZHANG Gwenyth - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
19 MA Isabelle - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
20 LIU Isabelle 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
21 HSU Emily - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
22 YU Sophie - - 4% 26% 48% 23%
23 CHO Karis - 1% 6% 24% 42% 25% 2%
24 HOFFMAN Isabelle 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
25 OTAEGI Elorri 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
26 TAN Shouyin 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
27 ARYA Leela 9% 33% 39% 16% 3% -
28 TAI Taphanie 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
29 LI Sophia - - 3% 18% 43% 31% 5%
30 AHN Hayley 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
31 ZHANG Queeny 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
32 MANANSALA Zara 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
33 YU-TAN Claire 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
34 TANG Amelia 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 3% -
35 HO Chloe 12% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
36 BHANGOO Paloma 46% 44% 9% 1% - -
37 DVOIRIS Maya 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
38 LEE Abigail 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
39 KULKARNI myra 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
40 SARANGAN Ovia 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
41 STERNAD Pia 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
42 HOFFMAN Amelia 24% 50% 22% 3% - -
43 HSU Rachel 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
44 LIM Stella 9% 33% 39% 16% 2% - -
45 WANG Ellen 19% 44% 30% 6% 1% - -
46 PARK Seojeong 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
47 YU Xintong 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
48 HUGHES Bailey 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
49 ZHAN Catherine 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
50 YANG Byanca 66% 29% 5% - - -
51 JOESUF Aurielle 3% 24% 51% 19% 2% -
52 ARAKELYAN Marina < 1% 13% 43% 37% 6% - -
53 MARCHIEL Ava < 1% 20% 43% 30% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.