The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Motor City SYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia - - - - 1% 13% 87%
2 MARISI Gianna - - - 1% 6% 34% 60%
3 BING Charlotte - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
3 DONG Iris - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
5 KRAHE Annika - - 3% 14% 30% 35% 17%
6 GE Lena Lan 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
7 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
8 POEI Lauren - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
9 MCFARLANE Asha - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
10 BOIKE Lucille 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
11 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
12 WANG Annie - - 3% 17% 39% 35% 7%
13 SINGH Evangelina 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
14 WU Maggie Lei - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
15 BLAKEY Heaven - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
16 LI Savannah 3% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
17 MUMMANENI Samyuta - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 8%
18 WATSON Evelyn 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
19 JIANG Chloe 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 6%
20 OKWUOSAH Judith - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
21 YU Eliza - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
22 HUANG Natalie 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
23 ALKADI Mai - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20% 1%
24 SWOPE Farren - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
25 PUTHOFF Olivia 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
26 CULLIVAN Sienna - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
27 ADLER Zoe 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
28 AADHI Hansika - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
29 HU Sophie 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
30 LIN Kenzie 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
31 CHANG Olivia 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
32 HARRIS Parker 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
33 DESERANNO Seren - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
34 ZEE Savannah 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3%
35 HOM Avery - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2%
36 ZHOU Joi - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
37 MORSE Katherine 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
38 YIN Chloe 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% -
39 LIU Ariana 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
40 TAN Dorathy - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
41 NWODO Naila 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
42 HOROWITZ Shuli - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
43 DIRKES Catherine 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
44 FRASER Morgan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
45 STONE Sydney 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
46 LEVY Gabrielle 4% 29% 40% 22% 5% -
47 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 34% 42% 20% 4% - -
48 KNAPP Isabella 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
49 MARTIN Sloan - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 1%
50 LEO Jenna 10% 29% 34% 20% 7% 1% -
51 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
52 MCDANIEL Laila 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
53 SHAOOLIAN Maya 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
54 SAMALA Reese 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
55 HUFFMAN Yunia 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
56 RIVERA Leahy 8% 26% 33% 22% 8% 2% -
57 LUO Amira 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
58 NAFSOU Ava 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
59 PARANJAPE Ojasvi 3% 28% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
60 FU Pui Lam (Paisley) 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
61 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
62 ZHANG Caroline 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
63 ESMONDE-WHITE Daphne 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
64 LEIBERMAN Naomi 67% 28% 4% - - -
65 NANU Ava 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
66 LIN Claire 77% 21% 2% - - - -
67 KU Amanda 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.