The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Motor City SYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 2:00 PM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KU Alathea-Joy - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
2 LIU Chelsea 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% < 1%
3 CHOI Charlotte - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
3 NANDA Maanika - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
5 SENGUPTA Jia - 2% 13% 36% 40% 9%
6 YUEN Nicole - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
7 LEE Kaitlin 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
8 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
9 HILD Anya 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
10 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
11 BABB Virginia 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
12 WANG Keira 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
13 KONZEN Iris - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
14 POWERS Waverly 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
15 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
16 ZHANG Wuxin 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
17 WU Harper 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
18 ZHANG Shihan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
19 ZHANG Nikki 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
20 JOHNSTON Sabrina 29% 44% 22% 5% 1% - -
21 KWAN Kelly 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
22 ESTEVES ZOE 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
23 KIM Avaline 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2%
24 KANIA Brigitte 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
25 KATZ Emma - 2% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
25 BUSSELL Ava 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
27 KIRK Danyla 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.