The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

James L. Melcher Epee Grand Prix

Men's Épée

Sunday, April 14, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Fencers Club Inc. - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORNOVSKY David - - - 2% 17% 46% 35%
2 RODNEY Adam - - - 1% 10% 44% 46%
3 MOORE Shomari - - - 2% 18% 50% 29%
3 KNOX James - - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
5 KAULL James - - - 1% 13% 55% 31%
6 CAI Brian - - 7% 41% 48% 4%
6 ARAVIND Athreya - 1% 13% 52% 32% 2%
8 DUNCAN Corwin - - 5% 28% 45% 21%
9 SANDERS Ian - 1% 15% 43% 34% 8%
10 CHEIAN Dinis - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 17%
11 ZHANG William - - 11% 42% 40% 7% -
12 FULLER George - - 2% 20% 40% 30% 7%
13 GRAMS Steven - - 2% 19% 46% 32%
14 CARPENTER Liam - 1% 38% 44% 15% 2%
15 TSINIS Alex - - - 1% 14% 86%
15 GRIFFITHS Ryan - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
17 ISAAC Joseph - - 4% 26% 47% 23%
18 GAO Daniel - 7% 45% 37% 10% 1%
19 PRIHODKO Max 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5% -
20 MACARTY Jordan - - 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
21 MELCHER Jack - - 19% 46% 29% 6%
22 LIN Yufei 47% 43% 9% < 1% - -
23 CHOI Joong Kyung - 6% 27% 39% 23% 4% -
24 LIU Hongyu (Ryan) 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
25 AINA Tiwalayo T 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
26 COETZEE Frans - 7% 38% 42% 12% 1% -
27 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 64% 34% 2% - - -
28 FENG Haozhen 23% 48% 26% 3% - - -
29 ROMERO Javier 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
30 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 25% 53% 20% 1% - -
31 SAWASDIKOSOL Sansana 25% 61% 12% 1% - -
32 CLARE James 66% 33% - - - -
33 RICH Celester 4% 27% 51% 17% 2% -
34 MOORE James 32% 66% 1% - - -
35 ACKLAND Matthew 22% 50% 25% 3% - - -
36 CHEN Edward 68% 29% 3% - - - -
37 CHOU Kevin 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
38 MOY Jerry 19% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
39 RIFKIND Neil 15% 55% 26% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.