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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	WOODLEY Colin	-	-	-	-	5%	32%	62%
2	MUNLIN Donovan	-	-	-	-	5%	31%	64%
3	OLIVERIUS Joseph W.	-	-	-	-	4%	29%	67%
3	TOUSSAINT Semaj	-	-	1%	13%	52%	34%
5	BARTLETT Lauren	1%	7%	22%	34%	26%	9%	1%
6	ZOOK Evan D.	-	-	2%	19%	55%	24%
7	LEE Aaron	1%	14%	34%	34%	15%	2%
8	BETTS Jr Anthony P.	-	-	1%	10%	34%	45%	9%
9	REYNOLDS Jay T.	-	-	4%	20%	40%	31%	6%
10	PETE Landon	-	8%	37%	45%	9%	-
11	DEMAREE Adam	-	3%	15%	33%	34%	13%	1%
12	HARDISON Terry (Reno)	-	1%	12%	50%	32%	5%
13	LIM Joshua	-	-	1%	13%	45%	42%
14	WALLACE George	-	-	3%	16%	42%	38%
15	CRAIG Alexander	-	2%	16%	42%	32%	7%	-
16	HAUSER Samuel	4%	39%	45%	11%	1%	-	-
17	BEDWORTH Paige	-	5%	22%	41%	28%	3%
18	DEEL Hayes	3%	20%	39%	29%	9%	1%	-
19	PAYNE John T.	-	-	2%	24%	47%	24%	2%
20	DONGES Anna	6%	24%	37%	25%	7%	1%
21	EDWARDS Tim	-	-	-	7%	45%	47%
22	HAYES Zackery	14%	43%	36%	6%	-	-
23	TUCKER Evan	-	4%	23%	42%	26%	5%	-
24	BABBITT Phoenix	-	2%	14%	36%	37%	10%	1%
25	GILL Anhad	7%	45%	38%	10%	1%	-
26	BYRNSIDE Caleb	4%	18%	33%	29%	13%	2%	-
27	PUVALOWSKI Ryan	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	3%	-
28	KINDEL Amara	15%	36%	33%	14%	2%	-
29	PARKER Jordan	32%	47%	20%	2%	-	-
30	SEATON Jake	1%	21%	49%	26%	3%	-
31	KARRIEM Zainuddin	1%	10%	27%	35%	21%	5%	-
32	PIERCE Marcia M.	8%	29%	37%	20%	5%	-	-
33	SKAGGS Jacob	20%	47%	29%	4%	-	-
34	PACK Josh	26%	41%	25%	7%	1%	-	-
35	BARRETT John	48%	39%	11%	1%	-	-	-
36	SPAULDING Maleah	77%	22%	2%	-	-	-
37	PLANAS Ethan	8%	34%	42%	15%	2%	-
38	BULLER Chloe	53%	42%	5%	-	-	-	-
39	ADAMS Brianna	11%	41%	37%	10%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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