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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOGUE Ethan D. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
2 HONDOR Robert D. - - - 1% 8% 39% 53%
3 JIN Owen - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
3 SUN Jason 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6%
5 GAO Daniel - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
6 BEDOR William J. - - - - 5% 28% 67%
7 MANN JAKEROD - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
8 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 3% 21% 45% 26% 5% -
9 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - - - 3% 24% 73%
10 BRODSKY Julian 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
11 WU Jonathan - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
12 LAI Aedin - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
13 KUGLER Luke 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% -
14 DANIEL Camron - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
15 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6% -
16 REDDY Arya 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% -
17 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
18 SUN Jeffrey 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3% -
19 CAUCHY Eliot - - 3% 17% 39% 35% 5%
20 LEHR William D. - - 1% 12% 37% 38% 12%
21 KARIMOV Amir 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
22 ROUBAILO Niels - - - 3% 20% 55% 22%
23 PALLADINO Ben T. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
24 KOYFMAN Benjamin - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
25 PAYNE Massimo 2% 17% 42% 31% 8% 1%
26 BAILEY David 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2%
27 CHOI Joong Kyung - 5% 24% 39% 25% 6%
28 CAI Brian - - - 6% 30% 44% 19%
29 SONG Troy - 4% 15% 32% 33% 14% 1%
30 COHEN Jared E. - 3% 18% 38% 33% 8%
31 NABAVI Matthew R. - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
32 ROBINS Brennan 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
33 OH Kevin Y. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 6%
34 PACYNA ATILLA - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
35 LIU Adam 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
36 SHA Michael 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
37 WU Colin 14% 43% 32% 9% 1% -
38 REPIC Oliver - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
39 ZHANG Roland 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
40 MEN Junda 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
41 SCAPICCHIO Stephen 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2% -
42 MORTON William 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7%
43 KOEPPEL Levi E. 1% 8% 32% 41% 16% 2%
44 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
45 GOON Tristan Yang 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
46 WU Jerry 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
46 ZHAO Pierce 14% 45% 34% 8% 1% - -
48 JONELEIT Aidan 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
49 RIM Eugene 14% 45% 32% 8% 1% -
50 YIN Chujun 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
51 DOUBOV Andrew 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
52 BUSH Thomas - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
53 HU Robert J. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
54 WONG Maximus 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
55 DEPOMMIER Remi - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
56 ZHAO Jonathan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
57 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
58 CHU Brandon A. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
59 CYR Mathieu 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
60 STELTENKAMP Neal - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
61 GOON Sin Tong 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% - -
62 KLINKENBERG Patrick 49% 40% 10% 1% - - -
63 NILSEN Mark 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
64 FENG Shang 6% 31% 45% 16% 2% - -
65 WELIWATTA kenula 35% 43% 19% 3% - -
66 LI Ray 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
66 DAVAN Connor 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
68 ZEBUTH Christopher E. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
69 YU Samuel 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
70 FAICCO Joseph 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
71 LI Jade 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
72 SPITLER Ansel 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
73 LEONE Gabe 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
74 ZHANG Dinghao 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
75 FENG Du 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
76 MANITT Philip 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
77 LEVCHOOK Thomas 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
78 WASSERMAN Jacob 52% 39% 9% 1% - -
79 DOWD Peter L. 31% 43% 22% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.