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Battle in Space City RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 4:00 PM

University of Houston Downtown - Wellness and Success Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LIU Austin	-	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	25%
2	BELETSKII Ivan	-	-	-	1%	17%	82%
3	YUE Bryan	-	-	3%	13%	30%	37%	17%
3	DE LOS REYES Noah	1%	9%	25%	33%	23%	8%	1%
5	DESAI Adithya	-	3%	14%	31%	32%	16%	3%
6	KUANG Cyrus	-	2%	13%	40%	36%	9%
7	KHALID Ilyas	6%	28%	40%	21%	3%	-
8	GEVA Reuben	-	-	2%	11%	30%	38%	19%
9	ZHANG Aiden	-	3%	14%	31%	33%	16%	3%
10	ROBERTS Arthur	-	-	3%	13%	30%	36%	17%
11	HOLDEN Harrison	5%	25%	39%	24%	6%	1%
12	CHEN Linus	2%	15%	38%	35%	10%	-
13	RODRIGUEZ Emiliano	-	4%	18%	33%	30%	13%	2%
14	BOGDAN Fyodor	-	4%	19%	40%	32%	4%
15	LI Andy	-	1%	11%	30%	36%	18%	3%
16	BALLEZA Maximilian	-	1%	6%	22%	37%	27%	7%
17	LEE Leo	-	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	7%
18	GUO zhaohong	1%	8%	25%	35%	24%	7%	1%
19	GOLDBERG Simon	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
20	SALAKO Declan	3%	14%	30%	31%	17%	5%	-
21	VAN RIET Matteo	-	1%	6%	21%	35%	29%	9%
22	TAN Samuel	5%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%	-
23	XIONG Alec	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
24	BERNIER Landyn	-	1%	8%	23%	35%	26%	7%
25	ALI Akash	9%	34%	38%	17%	3%	-
26	LIN Oliver	-	-	9%	33%	41%	17%
27	FENSKE Gavin	2%	14%	31%	32%	17%	4%	-
28	THOMSON Piers	-	3%	15%	31%	32%	16%	3%
29	TORNBERG Winston	11%	32%	34%	17%	4%	-	-
30	WANG Jonny	29%	44%	22%	4%	-	-
31	MO Shawn	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-	-
32	IBANEZ-CRUZ Adonis	52%	37%	10%	1%	-	-	-
33	KAPP Eamon	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
34	SATHYAN Dhruv	3%	21%	40%	29%	7%	-
35	HUANG EVAN	7%	27%	37%	22%	6%	1%	-
36	ZHANG Juncheng	2%	17%	34%	30%	14%	3%	-
37	BOUCHER Oren	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
38	GRANTER John	26%	41%	25%	8%	1%	-	-
39	SADLER Leon	38%	43%	17%	3%	-	-
40	LEÓN-BOSADA Matias	27%	41%	24%	7%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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