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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BIODROWICZ Julia	-	-	-	1%	18%	80%
2	DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia	-	-	-	-	-	9%	90%
3	HOOGSTRA Lucy	-	5%	21%	37%	29%	8%
3	AADHI Hansika	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	28%
5	MUMMANENI Samyuta	-	-	5%	21%	43%	31%
6	SWOPE Farren	-	3%	18%	38%	31%	9%
7	SONG Jenna	-	3%	16%	37%	34%	10%
8	KANG Marian	-	5%	21%	39%	28%	6%
9	DESERANNO Seren	2%	14%	32%	34%	16%	3%
10	TAN Dorathy	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
11	BLAKEY Heaven	1%	8%	30%	41%	19%	1%
12	CASHMAN Hailey	-	4%	20%	38%	30%	8%
13	COLLINS Anna	-	6%	25%	42%	25%	2%
14	CAMPBELL June	-	5%	19%	36%	31%	9%
15	MALONE Ella	1%	10%	29%	36%	20%	4%
16	SHUSTA Lily	8%	29%	36%	21%	5%	-
17	GE Lena Lan	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	10%	-
18	HOROWITZ Shuli	-	-	4%	19%	41%	34%	2%
19	LIN Kenzie	2%	21%	39%	28%	9%	1%
20	URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia	-	1%	8%	28%	41%	22%
21	HANNAH Abigail	1%	8%	27%	38%	22%	4%	-
22	MORSE Katherine	7%	29%	38%	21%	5%	-
23	WYATT Stella	2%	20%	39%	29%	9%	1%
24	XIONG Isabel	3%	19%	40%	30%	8%	-
25	BULLARD Sydney	-	4%	19%	36%	31%	10%
26	SOLOMIE Sabina	10%	31%	36%	18%	4%	-
27	HUFFMAN Yunia	30%	43%	21%	5%	1%	-
28	KRONZER Sophia	5%	25%	38%	25%	7%	1%	-
29	RIES Celina	9%	35%	38%	16%	2%	-
30	BROSNAN Lily	22%	41%	28%	8%	1%	-
31	JOHNSSON Emma	14%	39%	34%	12%	2%	-
32	LEVY Gabrielle	11%	33%	35%	17%	4%	-
33	STINNETT Amelia	8%	30%	38%	19%	4%	-	-
34	ZOLDAN Nolabelle	18%	42%	30%	9%	1%	-
35	TELCI Arya	48%	40%	11%	1%	-	-
36	SKJEI Josephine	35%	42%	19%	4%	-	-	-
37	GENNARO Juliana	72%	24%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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